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1 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stock Down 10% to Buy and Hold Forever

newsfeedback@fool.com (Todd Shriber)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Mondelez International, a global snack giant, has dropped 10.6% over the past year despite strong fundamentals, presenting a potential buying opportunity for value-focused investors. The company boasts 4% organic sales growth and an 18% operating margin—above its five-year average—while maintaining a 3.32% dividend yield with high-single-digit payout growth expected through 2034. Analysts consider Mondelez undervalued amid broader market shifts favoring growth stocks, overlooking its resilient brand portfolio and innovation-driven product pipeline. Cocoa prices, now 70% below 2024 peaks, further bolster near-term profitability, reducing input costs for key products like chocolate and baked goods. Year-to-date gains of 9% suggest short-term momentum, but its long-term appeal lies in defensive stability during market volatility and consistent dividend reliability.
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By Todd Shriber – Mar 7, 2026 at 1:30PM ESTKey PointsMondelez is a dividend dynamo that should see its payout grow at a high-single-digit pace.The snack food maker also boasts 4% organic sales growth on an operating margin of 18%.Yet, the stock has dropped 10% over the past year, making it now look undervalued.In a scenario that was nearly unthinkable as recently as last year, the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP +0.43%) is up some 13% year to date. In comparison, the equivalent technology exchange-traded fund (ETF) is saddled with about a 4.5% loss. That's great for investors who bought the consumer staples ETF late last year or in early 2026, but its credentials as a value fund are debatable. Consider this: Costco Wholesale and Walmart, the ETF's two largest holdings, sport price-to-earnings ratios above Nvidia's. To be sure, that's an interesting, perhaps concerning factoid. Mondelez is offering value and dependable dividend growth. Image source: Getty Images. It doesn't mean the consumer packaged goods sector is lacking value. Investors just need to know where to look, and they don't have to look far: Mondelez International (MDLZ +0.38%) offers not only value but also reliable income. That combination could make this a stock worth snacking on. Take a bite of this fundamental outlook Depending on an investor's perspective, the Triscuit maker is either in dubious or illustrious company, as it's one of just 13 S&P 500 consumer staples stocks yielding more than 3% that are also in the red over the past 12 months. To be precise, Mondelez is off 10.6% over that span, and to be fair, that period includes a lengthy stretch in which U.S. stocks were led higher by growth equities while the defensive staples sector faltered. Specific to Mondelez, which is considered a wide-moat name, the Oreo maker was hindered by market participants' affinity for more glamorous investment themes and lack of appreciation for this company's enviable brand portfolio. Those skeptics may have glossed over Mondelez's crucial investments in innovation, which are speeding up the timeline for bringing new and refreshed products to market. There's a silver lining. Not only is the stock considered undervalued by some analysts, but the company is pacing toward 4% organic sales growth on operating margins of 18%, which tops the five-year average of 16.5%, according to Morningstar. ExpandNASDAQ: MDLZMondelez InternationalToday's Change(0.38%) $0.22Current Price$58.40Key Data PointsMarket Cap$75BDay's Range$57.35 - $58.5952wk Range$51.20 - $71.15Volume9.5MAvg Vol12MGross Margin30.85%Dividend Yield3.32% Of course, the dividend is a major draw for this stock. Investors considering a long-term relationship with Mondelez can take heart in knowing its past payout growth track record is impressive, and some analysts believe those increases will continue at a high-single-digit pace through 2034. Mondelez is right for right now, too The appropriate context for shares of the Ritz cracker maker is as a long-term investment, but at the same time, the stock is up more than 9% year to date, indicating it can deliver the goods over shorter holding periods. Its 2026 showing may be a sign that Mondelez is worth owning amid geopolitical stress and tariff tumult. Cocoa prices, which are 70% below 2024 highs, also fortify the near-term case for this consumer staples stock. Indeed, if investor anxiety runs high and market breadth widens this year, Mondelez could add to its year-to-date gain while setting up for a durable, long-term rally.Read NextSep 4, 2024 •By Eric VolkmanWhy Mondelēz Stock Blasted 4% Higher on WednesdayAug 5, 2024 •By Josh Kohn-Lindquist1 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stock Down 10% to Buy Right Now While Its Dividend Yield Is at a Once-in-a-Decade HighNov 23, 2023 •By Royston Yang3 Winning Stocks to Buy No Matter What the Market Is DoingSep 6, 2023 •By Kody Kester2 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist in SeptemberAug 23, 2023 •By James Brumley3 Buffett Stocks to Buy More of in AugustAug 5, 2023 •By Kody KesterShould Dividend Growth Investors Buy This Warren Buffett Stock?Stocks MentionedMondelez InternationalNASDAQ: MDLZ$58.40(+0.38%)+$0.22Select Sector SPDR Trust - State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETFNYSEMKT: XLP$85.78(+0.43%)+$0.37*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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