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Kalshi's not having a good time in Ohio

Cheryl Teh
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A federal judge ruled in March that Ohio must regulate Kalshi’s sports prediction markets as gambling, rejecting its argument that bets qualify as financial swaps. The decision followed a lawsuit by Kalshi challenging cease-and-desist orders. Ohio’s Casino Control Commission fined Kalshi $5 million for operating unlicensed sports betting, citing repeated violations of state law despite prior warnings. Regulators emphasized protecting market integrity. Kalshi, valued at $22 billion after a $1 billion funding round, faces growing state resistance, with Arizona and Nevada also questioning its legality as unlicensed gambling. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission plans increased oversight, hiring staff to combat insider trading on prediction markets, signaling tighter federal scrutiny ahead. Kalshi called the fine disappointing, noting conflicting rulings in other courts, but its expansion remains stalled by regulatory hurdles across multiple states.
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Kalshi's not having a good time in Ohio

Kalshi has been fined $5 million in Ohio. Illustration by Davide Bonaldo/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images 2026-04-16T00:46:03.856Z Share Copy link Email Facebook WhatsApp X LinkedIn Bluesky Threads lighning bolt icon An icon in the shape of a lightning bolt.

Impact Link Save Saved Read in app This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Become an Insider and start reading now. Have an account? Log in. Kalshi is facing a fine in Ohio for unlicensed sports betting activities. The prediction market operator has been in an Ohio court battle to allow it to operate in the state. Kalshi suffered a loss in March, when an Ohio judge ruled its offerings should be regulated. AI-generated summary Summaries are generated by an AI model trained on Business Insider's articles. AI may make mistakes or provide inaccurate/incomplete information. We're unable to load that answer right now. Please try again. What defines unlicensed sports betting? What is Kalshi's business model? What challenges do prediction markets face? How do prediction markets differ from gambling? How do state regulations affect Kalshi? It's more money, more problems for the online prediction market Kalshi. Loading audio narration...

The Ohio Casino Control Commission said on Tuesday that it was fining Kalshi $5 million for unlicensed sports betting in the state."The Commission takes its regulatory responsibilities to ensure compliance with the law and the integrity of sports gaming in Ohio seriously," the regulators said in a statement. "Kalshi's refusal to stop offering sports gaming in Ohio necessitated the Commission to take action to uphold the requirements of Ohio law. " This fine comes on the heels of a court loss Kalshi suffered in March. A judge in Ohio's federal court ruled that Kalshi's sports-related prediction market bets should be considered gambling and be regulated by the state.In April 2025, the commission issued three cease and desist notices — to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com — directing them to stop offering sports event contracts in the state by April 14, 2025. Kalshi sued Ohio and asked the court to grant an injunction against the casino regulators' attempt to stop it from taking market bets. Kalshi had asked the court to treat its sports-related market options as swaps, which would designate picks on its platform as a kind of investment.The presiding judge, District Judge Sarah Morrison, ruled against Kalshi, saying she had an obligation to "avoid absurdity." Swaps, she said, are "understood as a transaction involving financial instruments and measures that traditionally and directly affect commodity prices." "Currency exchange rates, the weather and energy costs all do that: the number of points scored in the Huskies-Bobcats game does not," the judge said.Kalshi said in a statement to Business Insider that it's reviewing the gaming commission's fine. "We are disappointed in this latest development, especially considering our ongoing litigation with Ohio and recent rulings in other courts confirming our right to operate as a federally licensed exchange," a Kalshi spokesperson said.The company raised $1 billion last month at a $22 billion valuation, according to data provider PitchBook. Kalshi's expansion across the US is running into a range of state-level resistance. Regulators from Arizona to Nevada say its offerings may amount to unlicensed gambling.The platform is also set to see more federal oversight from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Its enforcement chief, David Miller, said in March that he's hiring more staff to crack down on insider trading on prediction markets.

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