January CPI Tame, But PCE Inflation May Be Hotter

Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT8.96K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(5min)CommentsSummaryJanuary CPI came in slightly below expectations, with headline inflation at 2.386% YoY and core CPI at 2.504%, the lowest since early 2021.Supercore CPI remains elevated at 0.593% MoM, signaling persistent underlying inflation pressures despite headline moderation.Real average weekly earnings improved significantly, rising 1.9% YoY, suggesting stronger consumer purchasing power.Markets responded with mild equity gains and lower Treasury yields, as Fed rate cut hopes increased amid mixed inflation signals. pcess609/iStock via Getty Images January CPI came in slightly better than expectations. Headline CPI rose 0.2% month-on-month, a tenth below economists’ expectations. The year-on-year rate fell from 2.7% to 2.386%, the lowest since early 2021. Core CPI was slightly firmer, up 0.295% sequentially, matching estimates, taking the YoY rate to 2.504% (fromThis article was written byMike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT8.96K FollowersFollowFreelance Financial Writer | Investments | Markets | Personal Finance | RetirementI create written content used in various formats including articles, blogs, emails, and social media for financial advisors and investment firms in a cost-efficient way. My passion is putting a narrative to financial data. Working with teams that include senior editors, investment strategists, marketing managers, data analysts, and executives, I contribute ideas to help make content relevant, accessible, and measurable. Having expertise in thematic investing, market events, client education, and compelling investment outlooks, I relate to everyday investors in a pithy way. I enjoy analyzing stock market sectors, ETFs, economic data, and broad market conditions, then producing snackable content for various audiences. Macro drivers of asset classes such as stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and crypto excite me. My thing is communicating finance with an educational and creative style. I also believe in producing evidence-based narratives using empirical data to drive home points. Charts are one of the many tools I leverage to tell a story in a simple but engaging way. I focus on SEO and specific style guides when appropriate.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.