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Iran Conflict Poses Risk to Global Economy, IMF Members to Say

Jorge Valero
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The IMF’s financial committee will warn Friday that escalating Middle East conflict poses a “serious threat to the global economy,” with prolonged instability risking severe disruptions to trade and financial markets. Poorer nations face the harshest impacts, as sustained conflict could deepen food and energy insecurity, exacerbating inflation and widening economic inequality worldwide. Elevated oil and fertilizer prices may persist if tensions drag on, straining supply chains and squeezing household budgets, particularly in import-dependent economies. The committee’s draft statement, shared anonymously, highlights risks to global growth, inflation, and external financial stability if the crisis disrupts critical commodity flows. Analysts stress urgency for coordinated policy responses to mitigate spillover effects, though no immediate solutions are outlined in the preliminary findings.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000War With Iran:The conflict in the Middle East is a major shock that poses a “serious threat to the global economy” and will hit the poorest countries the hardest, according to a statement expected to be released by the Chair of the International Monetary and Financial Committee Friday. If prolonged, the conflict could keep oil and fertilizer prices elevated for an extended period and “amplify risks to energy and food security, global growth, inflation and external sector accounts,” the statement is expected to say, according to people familiar who spoke on condition of anonymity because the document isn’t public yet.

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