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Indian Officials See Iran War Oil Shock as Disruptive as Covid

Shruti Srivastava, Anup Roy, Siddhartha Singh
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Indian officials warn a potential Iran war could disrupt the economy as severely as Covid-19 did in 2020, with long-term damage threatening the nation’s rapid growth trajectory. The government is reviving pandemic-era strategies, including a proposed 2-2.5 trillion rupee ($26.8 billion) credit guarantee scheme to support struggling small and medium businesses amid fuel shortages. Soaring oil prices and gas shortages are expected to hit consumers and industries hard, prompting urgent policy discussions in New Delhi to mitigate economic fallout. Officials, speaking anonymously, compare the crisis to Covid’s prolonged impact, signaling concerns over sustained inflation, supply chain disruptions, and slower GDP growth. The measures aim to shield India’s economy from a potential oil shock, but the lasting effects could still derail its position as the world’s fastest-growing major nation.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000APAC Fuel Crunch:Indian officials say the Iran war could be as disruptive to the economy as the Covid pandemic was six years ago and the damage could linger for years to come, threatening to knock the world’s fastest-growing major nation off its path. The government is now drawing on its Covid playbook to cushion businesses and consumers hit by gas shortages and soaring oil bills. One such measure could be a credit guarantee scheme worth 2-2.5 trillion rupees ($26.8 billion) for small and medium firms and sectors, officials in New Delhi directly involved in managing the fallout said, asking not to be identified because the discussions are private.

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