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India Small Caps Return to Pre-War Levels as Risk Mood Improves

Alex Gabriel Simon
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Indian small-cap stocks rebounded to pre-war levels in April 2026, erasing losses triggered by the Iran conflict, as global risk sentiment improved amid de-escalation hopes. A potential two-week US-Iran ceasefire extension fueled market optimism, with Indian equities rallying as the Nifty index surpassed 24,200, reversing four months of declines. Officials warned the Iran war’s economic impact could rival Covid-19’s disruption, citing risks from sustained crude prices near $100 and volatile foreign investment flows. Despite the rebound, analysts question its durability, noting patchy foreign inflows and persistent oil-price pressures that could strain India’s economic recovery. Domestic traders remain cautious, balancing bullish momentum against geopolitical uncertainty and lingering macroeconomic risks from prolonged Middle East tensions.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Good morning... I’m Alex Gabriel Simon in Mumbai, bringing you the key market updates before start of trade. Indian equities look set to build on Wednesday’s rally, tracking gains in global stocks on bets of a de-escalation of the Middle East conflict. The US and Iran are considering a two-week extension of the ceasefire to allow more time to negotiate a peace deal. At home, the Nifty’s decisive move above the 24,200 mark in the last session signals bulls have taken charge in April after four straight months of declines in the benchmark. But with crude still not too far from the $100 mark and foreign flows remaining patchy, the durability of this rebound will be tested. Indian officials have said the Iran war could be as disruptive Bloomberg Terminalto the economy as the Covid pandemic was.

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