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IEA Says Gulf Can Resume Half of Shut Oil Fields Weeks After War

Anthony Di Paola
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Arab Gulf producers could restore 50% of halted oil output within two weeks if the Strait of Hormuz reopens post-conflict, according to the International Energy Agency’s April 2026 report. Recovery would reach 80% within a month, contingent on labor mobilization, contractor availability, and stabilized supply chains, per the IEA’s monthly oil market assessment. The final 20% of production faces delays due to reduced field pressure and technical constraints, making full restoration more complex and time-consuming. The Strait of Hormuz’s closure during the Iran conflict disrupted nearly all Gulf oil shipments, forcing shutdowns and creating a backlog for rapid restart efforts. The IEA’s timeline assumes immediate transit resumption but warns of logistical bottlenecks, underscoring the region’s vulnerability to geopolitical and infrastructure risks.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000War With Iran:Cargo ships and tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, near Fujairah.Top Arab Gulf oil producers can return half of shut fields to prewar levels of production within two weeks once transits through the Strait of Hormuz resumes, the International Energy Agency said.Resumptions are likely to rise to 80% over another month, but would be dependent on companies mobilizing labor and contractors, and the normalization of supply chains, the IEA said in its monthly oil market report. Restarting the remaining 20% would be more challenging because of a reduction in pressure in the fields and other constraints, it said Tuesday.

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Source: Bloomberg Markets

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