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Hope Lifts Stocks And Bonds

Seeking Alpha
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Global markets rallied on March 2026 hopes for a US-Israel-Iran ceasefire, with US draft proposals fueling optimism. Equities surged across Asia-Pacific (1%+ gains) and Europe’s Stoxx 600 eyed a three-day winning streak. US index futures jumped 0.8–1.0% as geopolitical tensions eased, reversing prior losses. The shift reflects investor bets on reduced Middle East conflict risks, though no formal agreement has been reached. The dollar saw mixed activity: initial late-session selling stalled, leaving it firmer. Sterling retreated slightly after Monday’s gains, holding above $1.3350 in its narrowest range in two weeks. The Australian dollar extended losses for a fourth session, dipping below $0.7000 again. Currency movements suggest cautious optimism amid broader market shifts tied to ceasefire prospects. Commodity markets mirrored equities’ gains, with risk-on sentiment dominating. Analysts warn volatility may persist until a concrete peace deal materializes.
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Marc Chandler17.13K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(11min)CommentsSummaryThe dollar was sold in a flurry of activity late in North America yesterday, but follow-through has been limited today and the greenback is trading with a firmer bias.Sterling gave up a little more than half of Monday’s gains yesterday and found bids above $1.3350. It is trading inside yesterday’s range so far today and is in the narrowest range in nearly two weeks: ~$1.3370-1.3435.The Australian dollar fell for the third consecutive session and is extending it into the fourth session today, although it is inside yesterday’s range. It settled below $0.7000 for the second consecutive session.Although US indices finished lower yesterday, hope that a ceasefire can soon be agreed upon in the war on Iran is helping lift equities today. Nearly all Asia-Pacific markets rallied earlier today, with most of the large markets up more than 1%.Europe’s Stoxx 600 is up for the third day, which, if sustained, would be the longest advance in more than a month. US index futures are up 0.8-1.0%. tadamichi/iStock via Getty Images There continues to be hope in the capital and commodity markets that a US-Israel war on Iran can be brought to a conclusion soon. While news reports indicate that the US had drafted a 15-point peaceThis article was written byMarc Chandler17.13K FollowersFollowMarc Chandler has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for 40 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. A prolific writer and speaker he appears regularly on CNBC and has spoken for the Foreign Policy Association. In addition to being quoted in the financial press daily, Chandler has been published in the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, and the Washington Post. In 2009 Chandler was named a Business Visionary by Forbes. Marc's commentary can be found at his blog (www.marctomarket.com) and twitter www.twitter.com/marcmakingsense

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