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Hong Kong records HK$2.9 billion consolidated surplus for 2025-26. Here’s how

Lam Ka-sing
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Hong Kong’s 2025-26 budget defied expectations, recording a HK$2.9 billion consolidated surplus instead of the projected HK$67 billion deficit, driven by strong IPO activity and bond sales. Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po announced the turnaround in his February 2026 budget speech, crediting a resurgent stock market and higher stamp duty revenues from increased trading volumes. Economists attribute the surplus to a booming IPO pipeline, with robust listing activity boosting government revenue, while a stabilized property market further supported fiscal health. Academics like Billy Mak Sui-choi highlighted surging stock turnover as the primary revenue driver, with stamp duty income rising by tens of billions due to heightened market activity. Optimism for 2026-27 persists, as analysts cite a recovering property sector, new corporate inflows, and intergovernmental fund transfers as key factors sustaining future surpluses.
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Hong Kong records HK$2.9 billion consolidated surplus for 2025-26. Here’s how

AdvertisementHong Kong budget 2026-27Hong KongHong Kong EconomyHong Kong records HK$2.9 billion consolidated surplus for 2025-26. Here’s howEconomists optimistic for 2026-27, pointing to stabilised property market and transfer of finances between government funds or accountsReading Time:3 minutesWhy you can trust SCMPLam Ka-singPublished: 10:01pm, 26 Feb 2026Updated: 10:04pm, 26 Feb 2026A combination of a strong initial public offering (IPO) market and bond sales has helped put Hong Kong’s financial health back in the black sooner than expected, with analysts expecting a robust pipeline of listings to be key to sustaining the city’s surplus.In his budget speech on Wednesday, Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po said the city was previously expected to record a HK$67 billion deficit for the 2025-26 financial year, which ends on March 31, but emerged with an estimated HK$2.9 billion consolidated surplus.Some economists on Thursday expressed optimism regarding the outlook for 2026-27, pointing to factors such as the stabilised property market and the transfer of billions of Hong Kong dollars between government funds or accounts.AdvertisementBilly Mak Sui-choi, an associate professor at Baptist University’s accountancy, economics and finance department, attributed the operating surplus in 2025-26 directly to the bustling stock market, noting that robust turnover and listing activities were the primary engines for government revenue.“The main reason is that in the past year … Hong Kong stock turnover was much larger, so government stamp duty [revenue] increased by a lot, by tens of billions,” he said. Lee Shu-kam, head of Hong Kong Shue Yan University’s economics and finance department, expressed optimism that a compounding effect from new companies coming to Hong Kong, a booming stock market and a recovering property sector would mutually reinforce one another to sustain higher tax revenues.AdvertisementSelect VoiceSelect Speed0.8x0.9x1.0x1.1x1.2x1.5x1.75x00:0000:001.00x

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Source: South China Morning Post Business

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