Here's Why High Oil Prices Are Hurting Precious Metals Mining Stocks

By Rich Smith – Mar 22, 2026 at 12:49PM ESTKey PointsWar in the Middle East drives oil prices higher, fueling inflation worries and higher interest rates.Investors may shift to buying bonds, which pay interest, instead of gold and silver, which don't.Stock prices go up, stock prices go down -- and the reasons why aren't always obvious, at least not at first glance. Take the relationship between oil prices and gold prices. Both are commodities, generally priced in U.S. dollars. When the dollar is strong, one can buy more oil or gold per dollar, and when the dollar is weak, one cannot buy as much oil or gold. To an extent, you'd expect both gold and oil to rise and fall in tandem when the value of the U.S. dollar falls and rises. That logic hasn't been working well lately, however. Image source: Getty Images. Iran, oil, and gold On Feb. 28, 2026, U.S. and Israeli forces began to bomb Iran. Nervous about the conflict, investors initially fled to safe-haven assets such as gold, silver, and the U.S. dollar, which is up in value about 2% against other currencies over the past three weeks. (Generally, this should drive commodity prices down.) However, Iran responded to the attacks by closing the Strait of Hormuz, crimping global access to shipments, and driving the price of oil higher regardless. Gold and silver prices, though -- and gold and silver stocks -- fell in response. In fact, they've all been falling steadily for the past week and a half. Major gold producers such as Newmont Corp. (NEM 3.41%) and Barrick Mining (B 2.98%) are down 15% and 16%, respectively, over the last seven trading days. Hecla Mining (HL 2.44%), America's biggest silver miner, is down 17%. The declines roughly track declines in the prices of gold and silver, down 10% and 16%, respectively, over the same period. But aside from their tie to the U.S. dollar, what do the prices of gold and silver have to do with the price of oil? ExpandNYSE: NEMNewmontToday's Change(-3.41%) $-3.38Current Price$95.82Key Data PointsMarket Cap$104BDay's Range$94.36 - $99.8852wk Range$42.93 - $134.88Volume945KAvg Vol10MGross Margin49.78%Dividend Yield1.05% Why high oil prices hurt precious metals mining stocks The theory goes like this: Oil is used everywhere in the modern economy. Beyond just the gasoline refined for our personal cars, the ships and trucks that move everything in our economy also run on oil. When the price of oil rises, the price of transportation rises, too, causing the price of everything to go up. We call this inflation. When the Federal Reserve sees inflation rising -- and it will -- it's less likely to lower interest rates and more likely to raise them. This increases the cost of debt for all businesses as they're forced to pay higher interest rates on their bonds. And when investors see interest rates rise, they're more inclined to invest in those bonds (which pay interest) than to buy gold and silver, which do not. (True, mining stocks like Barrick, Newmont, and Hecla do pay dividends. But their dividends look less attractive the higher bond interest rates go, so the effect is the same.) And so, in a nutshell: High oil prices drive high inflation, which in turn raises interest rates. And that is why precious metal stocks are falling.Read NextMar 20, 2026 •By Neha ChamariaThese 5 Mining Stocks Are Tumbling on the Fear That the Federal Reserve May Delay Interest Rate CutsMar 9, 2026 •By Neha ChamariaIf You'd Invested $1,000 In Newmont Stock 1 Year Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have TodayJan 16, 2026 •By Reuben Gregg BrewerCould Buying Newmont Stock Today Set You Up for Life?Nov 1, 2020 •By John Bromels3 Top Industrial Stocks to Buy Ahead of the ElectionMay 6, 2020 •By Motley Fool TranscribingNewmont Goldcorp (NEM) Q1 2020 Earnings Call TranscriptFeb 21, 2020 •By Motley Fool TranscribingNewmont Goldcorp (NEM) Q4 2019 Earnings Call TranscriptAbout the AuthorRich Smith is a contributing Motley Fool defense and stock market analyst covering publicly traded and emerging companies in defense, space, aerospace, and other sectors. Prior to The Motley Fool, Rich practiced international corporate law for Clifford Chance in Russia, and for the Russian-Ukrainian Legal Group in Moscow, Kyiv, and Washington, D.C. He holds a bachelor’s degree in international relations from the College of William & Mary, a law degree from the University of Baltimore, and a language certification from the International Institute of Russian Language & Culture in Tver, Russian Federation. The Globe and Mail once featured him as “one of the best stock pickers since 2009.”TMFDittyX@RichSmithFoolStocks MentionedNewmontNYSE: NEM$95.82(-3.41%)-$3.38Barrick MiningNYSE: B$37.15(-2.95%)-$1.13Hecla MiningNYSE: HL$17.18(-2.44%)-$0.43*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.