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Growth Stocks Are Getting Riskier. This ETF Historically Holds Up Better

newsfeedback@fool.com (David Dierking)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Growth stocks, dominant from 2023–2025 due to AI and the "Magnificent Seven," are underperforming in 2026, with the Vanguard Growth ETF down 7% year-to-date amid economic uncertainty. Macroeconomic risks—stagnant labor growth, persistent 3% inflation, high debt, and consumer strain—are prompting investors to shift from growth to defensive strategies as Fed rate cuts appear unlikely. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) stands out for its focus on financially stable firms with strong cash flows, low debt, and 10+ years of dividend growth, offering yield and downside protection. SCHD’s top sectors—energy (20%), consumer staples (19%), and healthcare (16%)—align with current market preferences, outperforming peers in 2026 after three years of lagging returns. Historically, SCHD declines less in downturns, falling 16% in 2025’s "Liberation Day" scare versus 23% for growth ETFs, proving its resilience in volatile markets.
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By David Dierking – Mar 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ESTKey PointsThe growth style of investing was one of the most successful themes from 2023-2025. That has changed this year.Investors are growing increasingly concerned about a market downturn and are positioning their portfolios accordingly.The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF provides durability, downside protection, quality, and a high yield. Since the end of the 2022 bear market up through 2025, growth stocks had a nearly uninterrupted run of outperformance relative to the S&P 500. On the heels of the artificial intelligence (AI) boom and the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, growth has been one of the market's winningest themes. That has changed in 2026.

The Vanguard Growth ETF, one of the most successful exchange-traded funds (ETFs) over the past three years, is down 7% year to date (at the time of this writing). That lags the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF's 3% loss, but it significantly lags the near-1% gain of the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF. The list of factors suggesting that growth's run might be over is growing. Labor market growth has nearly ground to a standstill. Inflation is still hovering close to 3% and may prevent the Federal Reserve from cutting rates further for the foreseeable future. Rising debt levels and consumer affordability issues are still threatening to derail economic growth forecasts. It may be time to seek out safer paths for equity market returns. Image source: Getty Images. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF makes sense in today's market When the markets grow uncertain and volatility starts to tick higher, it makes sense to focus on financially sound companies. These are the ones backed by healthy cash flows, strong balance sheets, and lower debt levels. These companies tend to be more durable and able to withstand economic slowdowns. Few ETFs focus on quality better than the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD 0.07%). Not only does it consider factors such as cash-flow-to-debt ratio and return on equity, but it also requires companies to have paid dividends for at least 10 years while considering dividend yield and dividend growth rate. It's a strategy that I really like because it uses these screens to act as a cross-check against each other. The strategy looks at historical dividend growth rates, but makes sure the company has the cash to keep growing the dividend in the future as well. The strategy looks at high yields, but makes sure the company has the balance sheet strength to sustain that yield. It's a strong way to get the best of all worlds while mitigating some of the potential risk that comes from focusing on just one thing. ExpandNYSEMKT: SCHDSchwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETFToday's Change(-0.07%) $-0.02Current Price$30.80Key Data PointsDay's Range$30.75 - $31.0652wk Range$23.87 - $31.95Volume30M This ETF's current top sector holdings are energy (20%), consumer staples (19%), healthcare (16%), and industrials (12%). Not only does that make the portfolio look a lot different from the S&P 500, but it also positions it right in the sweet spot of what the market is favoring at the moment. After three years of lagging performance, it's back in the top 1% of Morningstar's Large Value category, which encompasses undervalued funds focused on large-cap companies, for 2026. A history of holding up in down markets Thanks to its defensive nature, the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF often declines less than the S&P 500 in challenging markets. For example, during the 2025 "Liberation Day" scare, this ETF fell by about 16% compared to a 23% correction in the Vanguard Growth ETF. During the 2022 bear market, it fell by 15% compared to a 35% plunge in the Vanguard fund. Each correction will be a little different, but this ETF is built to hold up more often than not. Many investors focus on maximizing returns in bull markets. It's just as important to minimize losses in down markets. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF has shown its ability to capture the best of both worlds.Read NextMar 15, 2026 •By Matt DiLallo1 Dividend ETF to Buy Hand Over Fist and 1 to AvoidMar 15, 2026 •By Selena Maranjian1 ETF That Could Turn $100 Per Month Into $67,380Mar 14, 2026 •By Justin PopeWant Decades of Passive Income?

Buy This Index Fund and Hold It ForeverMar 13, 2026 •By Eric TrieDividend Stability or Growth Exposure? SCHD and FDVVMar 13, 2026 •By Sarah SidlowHDV vs. SCHD: Which Dividend ETF Is Best?Mar 12, 2026 •By David DierkingPrediction: Here's What SCHD Could Look Like When It Reconstitutes Itself This MonthStocks MentionedSchwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETFNYSEMKT: SCHD$30.80(-0.07%)-$0.02*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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