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The Great Rotation Has Crushed Growth Stocks. History Says That's Usually When You Should Be Buying Them.

newsfeedback@fool.com (John Ballard)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The "Great Rotation" has temporarily shifted market leadership from tech to defensive sectors, causing top growth stocks like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet to dip despite their long-term dominance in AI-driven innovation. Nvidia’s Blackwell and Rubin chips now have over $1 trillion in cumulative orders, with 71% revenue growth forecasted for 2026, cementing its role as the backbone of global AI infrastructure. Microsoft’s AI cloud services, including Copilot (15M paid users) and Azure (39% YoY growth), demonstrate accelerating enterprise adoption, reinforcing its leadership in productivity and AI infrastructure. Alphabet’s Gemini AI integration across Google Search and Cloud is driving double-digit growth, with $73B in annual free cash flow funding aggressive expansion in AI and data centers. History shows growth stocks rebound strongly after drawdowns, with the S&P 500 Growth ETF nearly doubling value ETF returns over the past decade, signaling a potential buying opportunity.
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By John Ballard – Apr 18, 2026 at 4:10PM ESTKey PointsGrowth stocks are the best tools to build wealth over the long term.Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet remain three tech heavyweights with the innovation to deliver strong returns.These companies are enabling the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) across the economy.The "Great Rotation" has seen defensive sectors like consumer staples outperform technology in the first quarter. That sent the shares of top tech stocks down, but history suggests these rotations are often the best times to buy quality growth companies. Over the last decade, the iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF has endured four drawdowns of at least 12% from its previous high, including two drops of more than 24% in 2020 and 2022. In the face of that volatility, the Growth ETF has nearly doubled the return of the iShares S&P 500 Value ETF over the past 10 years. History is clear that if you have at least 10 years until retirement, growth stocks are your friend. Even with the S&P 500 already back to all-time highs, there are still attractive opportunities available. Leading tech companies like Nvidia (NVDA +1.67%), Microsoft (MSFT +0.60%), and Alphabet (GOOG +1.99%) (GOOGL +1.71%) are seeing strong growth and offer reasonable valuations, setting the potential for excellent returns. Image source: Getty Images. Nvidia Nvidia sits at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) investment cycle. Based on updated numbers provided at GTC 2026, management estimates cumulative purchase orders for its Blackwell and upcoming Rubin chips will exceed $1 trillion. Analysts expect Nvidia's revenue to increase 71% this year, reaching $369 billion. That growth and scale could make Nvidia one of the most profitable companies in the world. It posted a 55% profit margin over the last year, bringing its trailing-12-month net income to $120 billion. It has the resources to fund continued investment in computing systems for AI data centers, robotics, and self-driving cars. Nvidia's chips are increasingly fundamental to the $110-trillion-plus global economy, in which every sector will use AI. Even at a market cap approaching $5 trillion at the time of writing, it could be worth far more in another decade. The stock trades at about 18 times next year's earnings, with analysts forecasting 38% annual earnings growth over the next few years. ExpandNASDAQ: NVDANvidiaToday's Change(1.67%) $3.32Current Price$201.67Key Data PointsMarket Cap$4.9TDay's Range$199.28 - $201.6852wk Range$95.04 - $212.19Volume5MAvg Vol177MGross Margin71.07%Dividend Yield0.02% Microsoft Microsoft has fallen around 30% from its recent highs, yet it benefits from a large base of recurring cloud revenue and is seeing strong demand for AI cloud services. Last quarter, Microsoft Cloud revenue, including Microsoft 365, Azure, and other cloud services, grew 26% year over year. One of the most important signals from the earnings report was that Microsoft 365 Copilot reached 15 million paid seats (licensed users), accelerating over the previous quarter, showing the company can sell more AI services across its huge installed base. "We are in the beginning phases of AI diffusion and its broad GDP impact," CEO Satya Nadella said. That's supported by continued adoption of Copilot and Azure. Azure posted 39% year-over-year revenue growth, driven by enterprise demand for building, training, and deploying AI agents and software. Microsoft has led productivity software for decades, and it looks poised to extend that edge through its AI infrastructure, including a global data center footprint and custom AI chips. At 22 times next year's earnings estimate, the stock looks attractive after the recent dip. ExpandNASDAQ: MSFTMicrosoftToday's Change(0.60%) $2.54Current Price$422.80Key Data PointsMarket Cap$3.1TDay's Range$420.71 - $431.5652wk Range$355.67 - $555.45Volume2.4MAvg Vol38MGross Margin68.59%Dividend Yield0.82% Alphabet (Google) Alphabet's Google is positioned to compound shareholder returns by using AI to make its services more useful for billions of people. It has integrated its Gemini model across products, including Google Search -- its largest revenue driver -- with strong early results. Alphabet is delivering double-digit growth in advertising and Google Cloud. Its ability to convert those massive revenue streams into free cash flow -- $73 billion over the last year -- makes it a high-quality growth stock to buy and hold. ExpandNASDAQ: GOOGLAlphabetToday's Change(1.71%) $5.74Current Price$341.76Key Data PointsMarket Cap$4.1TDay's Range$336.24 - $342.3152wk Range$146.10 - $349.00Volume1MAvg Vol33MGross Margin59.68%Dividend Yield0.25% The top tech heavyweights, including Microsoft and Google, plan to spend at least $600 billion this year, according to The Motley Fool's research, with Google roughly doubling capital spending to about $180 billion. This spending is not a risk; it's a competitive advantage. The companies that can afford more chips and data centers to deliver the best AI services will ultimately attract more users, ship better products, and generate more revenue. Alphabet stock trades at a reasonable 25 times next year's earnings estimate. These tech giants could deliver more growth over the next 20 years than what's priced in right now.Read NextApr 18, 2026 •By Patrick SandersForget Nvidia's Stock Price. This Is the Number That Actually Matters.Apr 18, 2026 •By Motley Fool StaffChip Stocks and Bank Earnings ExtravaganzaApr 18, 2026 •By Adria CiminoNvidia's Market Cap Could Reach a Shockingly High Level, According to 1 Metric.

But Is This Really Possible?Apr 18, 2026 •By Keithen Drury1 Incredible AI Bargain You'll Regret Not Loading Up on NowApr 17, 2026 •By Matt Frankel, CFP10 Best Low-Cost Index Funds to Buy in 2026Apr 17, 2026 •By Matt Frankel, CFPBest S&P 500 ETFs to Buy in 2026About the AuthorJohn Ballard has been a contributing writer at The Motley Fool since 2016, covering consumer goods and technology stocks. He holds a bachelor’s degree in business administration with a focus in real estate finance from the University of Arkansas at Little Rock.TMFRazorbackStocks MentionedNvidiaNASDAQ: NVDA$201.67(+1.67%)+$3.32MicrosoftNASDAQ: MSFT$422.79(+0.60%)+$2.53AlphabetNASDAQ: GOOGL$341.76(+1.71%)+$5.74AlphabetNASDAQ: GOOG$339.40(+1.99%)+$6.63*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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