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Goldman Sachs is set to report first-quarter earnings — here's what Wall Street expects

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⚡ Quantum Brief
Goldman Sachs will report first-quarter earnings Monday, with Wall Street watching for AI-driven trading activity and investment banking growth as key performance drivers. Institutional investors increased trading positions amid AI disruption, boosting revenue potential for Goldman’s core trading desks, which dominate its earnings. Analysts expect a 10% rebound in investment banking revenue, though geopolitical risks—like the Iran conflict—could delay mergers and acquisitions activity. Commodity price volatility from the Iran war may cut corporate dealmaking but could lift trading profits via shifts in interest rates, bonds, and currencies. Shares have risen 3% year-to-date, reflecting cautious optimism as markets weigh AI opportunities against geopolitical instability.
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In this articleGoldman Sachs is scheduled to report first-quarter earnings before the opening bell Monday. Here's what Wall Street expects:Goldman Sachs is set up to benefit from several trends during the first quarter.Trading desks across Wall Street have been busy at the start of the year as institutional investors set new positions against the churn of AI-led disruption across sectors.At the same time, the investment banking rebound is expected to continue, with revenue for the industry set to climb by 10% in the quarter, per Dealogic.For Goldman Sachs, which gets most of its revenue from its trading and investment banking franchise, the main question analysts will have is about the impact of the Iran war that started on Feb. 28.Disruptive events that impact the price of commodities — like the Iran conflict has — can sometimes force corporate clients to the sidelines, meaning a delay in mergers activity might have started. At the same time, the churn can lead to greater trading revenues thanks to moves in interest rates, bond prices and currencies. Shares of the bank have climbed about 3% this year. This story is developing. Please check back for updates.Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you.Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inboxGet this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services.© 2026 Versant Media, LLC.

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