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Gold rebounds, but silver extends losses as oscillating oil prices spark market volatility

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⚡ Quantum Brief
Gold prices rebounded 0.3% to $4,662.51/oz Friday after a 3% Thursday plunge, while silver fell 1.7% to $71.62/oz, extending losses amid Iran war-driven volatility. Both metals face weekly declines—gold down ~9%, silver over 10%—reversing parts of their 2025 record rallies (gold +66%, silver +135%) as geopolitical risks reshape investor sentiment. Oil price swings and mixed global equities (Asian losses, uncertain European/U.S. opens) amplified volatility, with analysts citing unwinding momentum trades after pre-war gold surges. Central banks’ long-term gold accumulation contrasts with retail and hedge fund exits, per SP Angel’s Arthur Parish, suggesting a potential consolidation phase before another bullish leg. BRI Wealth’s Toni Meadows notes gold/silver prices reflect long-term trends more than short-term fear, with demand and "fear mark-ups" driving moves over daily risk-asset fluctuations.
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Gold prices rebounded slightly on Friday, but silver prices sank further, after both metals suffered heavy selling pressure in the previous session. By 6:17 a.m. ET, spot gold was 0.3% higher at $4,662.51 an ounce, pulling back from larger gains seen earlier in the morning. Gold futures added 1.2% to settle at $4,662.10.Spot silver was last seen around 1.7% lower at $71.62 an ounce, as it oscillated between positive and negative territory through the morning. Silver futures were up by around 0.8%. Gold and silver are both headed for a losing week, with gold on course for a loss of close to 9% and silver on track to end the week down more than 10%. On Thursday, the metals joined a broad sell-off, with spot prices sliding around 3% after suffering deeper losses earlier in the day amid rising fears about the economic fallout from the Iran war.Volatility in the oil market has been influencing global investor sentiment since the beginning of the U.S. and Israel's war with Iran. On Friday, oil prices continued to fluctuate, and were last seen edging higher after posting declines earlier in the morning. Global equity markets were mixed on Friday, with European stocks struggling to find direction as Asian shares mostly moved lower. U.S. futures data pointed to a negative open on Wall Street, after earlier signaling a rebound from Thursday's losing session. Arthur Parish, a metals and mining equity analyst at SP Angel, told CNBC's "Squawk Box Europe" on Friday that some of the extreme volatility in gold in recent weeks came after an extended rally in the build up to the first U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran. "That's pretty much unwound completely and actually moved quite a lot lower," he said. "A lot of that is momentum trades coming unwound."Gold and silver both enjoyed record-smashing rallies in 2025, surging 66% and 135%, respectively, over the course of the year. However, they have seen much more volatile trade in 2026, with silver futures suffering their biggest single-day blow since the 1980s at the end of January.During the 2025 bull run on gold, Parish noted that there had been "a lot of generalists coming to the space, a lot of systematic hedge funds and a lot of retail as well.""That money is not wedded to long term gold positioning," he said. "Ever since the Ukraine-Russia war and the freezing of Russian assets, you've seen central banks accumulate gold. I think they drove the first leg higher in this multi-year gold bull run, and then the tourists and retail investors came in to take advantage of that momentum. They're leaving the space now, which is probably what's needed for gold to then take another leg higher."Toni Meadows, head of investment at BRI Wealth Management, told CNBC that gold and silver prices are dependent on daily demand as well as "a fear mark-up.""I wouldn't view it as a daily hedge to every move in risk assets," he said. "It is driven by longer-term trends rather than short-term fear trading."Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you.Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inboxGet this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services.© 2026 Versant Media, LLC.

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