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February 26 Could Be a Huge Day for the Stock Market

newsfeedback@fool.com (Keithen Drury)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Nvidia’s upcoming earnings report on February 25 could dramatically sway markets on February 26, given its unmatched $4.6 trillion valuation and outsized influence on major indexes. The chipmaker dominates key benchmarks, comprising 7.1% of the S&P 500, over 13% of the Nasdaq Composite, and 2.3% of the Dow Jones, amplifying its power to drive broader market movements. A strong report would likely lift competitors like AMD and Broadcom, along with suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor, creating a ripple effect across tech and semiconductor sectors. Nvidia’s stock trades at 23.6x forward earnings—below the Nasdaq 100’s 25.3x average—despite projected 57% and 65% growth in FY2026 and FY2027, respectively, fueled by AI demand and China GPU sales. Analysts anticipate a bullish reaction post-earnings, citing undervaluation and robust growth catalysts, urging investors to act before potential price surges.
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By Keithen Drury – Feb 21, 2026 at 8:19AM ESTKey PointsNvidia makes up a large part of several key indexes.A successful report from Nvidia will cause other stocks to rise as well.Nvidia's stock is priced cheaply for its expected growth. We’re bullish on these 10 stocks ›NASDAQ: NVDANvidiaMarket Cap$4.6TToday's Changeangle-down(0.94%) $1.77Current Price$189.67Price as of February 20, 2026 at 3:59 PM ETNvidia is set to report earnings in a few days. Feb. 26 could be a huge day for the stock market. Depending on how large the news is, one company may steer the market one direction or another based on what it says. The company I'm talking about is none other than Nvidia (NVDA +0.94%), the world's largest company by market cap by a wide margin. Nvidia makes up a healthy chunk of some of the most important indexes in the market, and a good (or bad) quarter could cause a significant move in the stock market on Feb. 26, the day after Nvidia reports earnings. I'm bullish on Nvidia's outlook and stock, but the market has been fairly neutral to Nvidia's stock over the past six months. I think that changes on Feb. 26, and investors need to be ready for what's bound to happen following an expected strong earnings announcement. Image source: Getty Images. Nvidia is a key part of several indexes The reason why Nvidia has such power to move the market is because of its integration within several of the most important indices on the market. The most popular is the S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.69%), and Nvidia makes up about 7.1% of it. It's an even larger makeup of the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC +0.90%), where it's over 13% weighted. Lastly, Nvidia is also a member of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI +0.47%). Because that's a price-weighted index versus a market-cap weighted one, Nvidia is only a 2.3% component. Still, Nvidia's integration in these major indexes means it has huge power to steer the performance of these indexes on the days when it has a large movement. But Nvidia also isn't in a vacuum. ExpandNASDAQ: NVDANvidiaToday's Change(0.94%) $1.77Current Price$189.67Key Data PointsMarket Cap$4.6TDay's Range$185.95 - $190.3352wk Range$86.62 - $212.19Volume5.8MAvg Vol174MGross Margin70.05%Dividend Yield0.02% If Nvidia's stock has a great day, it will also likely drag up some of its competitors, like Broadcom (AVGO 0.40%) and AMD (AMD 1.62%), as a bullish outlook for Nvidia tends to spill over into these companies as well. Furthermore, suppliers like Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM +2.82%) will also spike due to Nvidia's success. Once all of these companies start to add together, you get a very large portion of the market starting to have a good day, which kicks off buying throughout the entire market. A positive Nvidia earnings report could be a huge catalyst for the entire market, and I'm quite bullish on Nvidia's stock heading into earnings. Nvidia's stock hasn't been this cheap in a while Since the AI boom began in 2023, Nvidia's stock hasn't traded at unbelievable premiums, but it also hasn't been cheap either. Currently, it trades for 23.6 times forward earnings. NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts Compared to the broader market, as measured by the S&P 500, it's not much more expensive, as the S&P 500 trades for 21.9 times forward earnings. The Nasdaq 100 is a better comparison, as it's filled with mostly tech stocks. The average forward earnings valuation in that index is 25.3, so Nvidia is really quite cheap compared to some of its peers. This cheap valuation may make sense if Nvidia's growth was expected to slow, but it isn't. Wall Street analysts expect fiscal year (FY) 2026 (ending January 2026, the current fiscal year) growth to come in at 57% year over year. For FY 2027, they project 65% growth. There are several catalysts for the accelerating growth rate, including rising AI spending, new chip architecture, and a return of graphics processing units (GPUs) sales to China. All of these factors add up to what's expected to be an impressive year for Nvidia, which is why I think the stock will soar as a result. Nvidia looks like a great buy heading into earnings, but don't wait too long, as the stock could be priced far higher on Feb. 26 after it reports following the market close on Feb. 25. Read NextFeb 21, 2026 •By Jose NajarroNvidia Shareholders Received Amazing News From Meta PlatformsFeb 21, 2026 •By Keithen Drury1 Genius Stock Up Nearly 27,000% in the Past Decade to Buy NowFeb 21, 2026 •By Keithen DruryGot $5,000? Here Are 5 Must-Buy Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Right Now.Feb 20, 2026 •By Robert IzquierdoShould You Buy Nvidia Stock Before Earnings?Feb 20, 2026 •By Justin Pope2 Millionaire-Maker Technology StocksFeb 20, 2026 •By Keithen DruryMy Top Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock to Buy in 2026About the AuthorKeithen Drury is a contributing Motley Fool technology analyst covering AI, semiconductors, cybersecurity, and SaaS stocks. In addition to The Motley Fool, Keithen is a mechanical engineer and has held roles at Honeywell and smaller industrial companies like Brand Hydraulics and Lincoln Industries. He holds a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering from Dordt University.TMFTripleOptionStocks MentionedNvidiaNASDAQ: NVDA$189.67 (+0.94%) $+1.77Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJINDICES: ^DJI$49625.97 (+0.47%) $+230.81S&P 500 IndexSNPINDEX: ^GSPC$6909.51 (+0.69%) $+47.62NASDAQ Composite IndexNASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC$22886.07 (+0.90%) $+203.34*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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