Back to News
investment

Egypt Extends Rate-Cut Cycle Into New Year as Inflation Eases

Bloomberg News
Loading...
4 min read
0 likes
⚡ Quantum Brief
Egypt’s central bank cut its benchmark deposit rate by 100 basis points to 19% and the lending rate to 20%, extending its easing cycle into 2026 amid declining inflation and a stronger pound. The move, widely anticipated by economists, follows a 725-basis-point reduction in 2025 to stimulate private investment after record rate hikes in 2024 secured a $57 billion global bailout and stabilized foreign exchange reserves. Inflation dropped to 11.9% in January—its lowest in four months—down from a 2023 peak of 38%, giving policymakers room to ease while balancing debt attractiveness for foreign investors. The pound strengthened to 46.83 per dollar, its highest since May 2024, as the IMF praised Egypt’s monetary reforms, including exchange rate liberalization and inflation targeting. Analysts expect further cuts, with Goldman Sachs forecasting the deposit rate could fall to 13% by year-end, provided inflation remains subdued and economic stability holds.
AI Audio Summary
0:00 / 0:00
Click to play
pexels-iohichu-34924856.jpg
Quantum News · Media Library

m91xktn6u({njij7sll)ri0(_media_dl_1.png BloombergArticle content(Bloomberg) — Egypt extended a cycle of interest-rate cuts into 2026, encouraged by the lowest inflation in months and a stronger local currency.Sign In or Create an AccountEmail AddressContinueor View more offersArticle contentThe central bank reduced the benchmark deposit rate by 100 basis points to 19%, it said Thursday on its Facebook page. The lending rate was lowered by the same amount to 20%. Article contentWe apologize, but this video has failed to load.Try refreshing your browser, ortap here to see other videos from our team.Article contentThe North African nation’s second consecutive bout of monetary easing was widely anticipated, with all but one of seven economists in a Bloomberg survey predicting a 100 basis-point cut. The exception, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., expected an even deeper 150-basis-point reduction.Article contentArticle contentTrimming borrowing costs has become a focus for Egypt, which hiked them to a record in tandem with a 40% currency devaluation in early 2024 to secure a $57 billion global bailout and resolve a foreign-exchange crunch. Authorities cut rates a combined 725 basis points in five meetings last year, seeking to spur private investment seen as key to an economic revival.Article contentTop StoriesGet the latest headlines, breaking news and columns.There was an error, please provide a valid email address.Sign UpBy signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.Thanks for signing up!A welcome email is on its way. If you don't see it, please check your junk folder.The next issue of Top Stories will soon be in your inbox.We encountered an issue signing you up. Please try againInterested in more newsletters? Browse here.Article contentA partial taming of inflation has given the central bank leeway. After hitting a record 38% in September 2023, the headline annual figure tumbled to half that in early 2025. It slightly slowed to 11.9% in January, its lowest in four months.Article contentThe performance of Egypt’s pound has been an added boost. It traded at about 46.83 per dollar at one point on Thursday, its strongest level since May 2024.Article contentThe International Monetary Fund, which has supported Egypt with an expanded $8 billion program, this week praised the country’s reforms.Article content“What they have done on the monetary-policy side is truly successful, not only liberalization of the exchange rate, but also moving towards inflation-targeting,” Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said in an interview with Bloomberg TV in Saudi Arabia. The lender is expected to make a decision on its latest Egyptian program review in the first quarter of this year.Article contentArticle contentIn cutting rates, Egyptian authorities eye a tricky balance between a figure that’s sufficiently low to reduce costly interest payments and yet high enough to keep its local debt attractive to foreign portfolio investors — an important source of funding.Article content“The large real-rate buffer and the benign inflation outlook will provide the CBE with enough headroom to continue its easing cycle,” Farouk Soussa, Goldman’s economist for the Middle East and North Africa, said before the decision. He sees the bank making steady cuts bringing the deposit rate to 13% by the end of the year.Article contentEgypt saw wide-ranging changes to its government this week. While premier Mostafa Madbouly and the finance, energy and foreign affairs ministers remained in place, more than a dozen appointments included a new chief for the investment and foreign trade portfolio.Article content—With assistance from Abdel Latif Wahba.Article contentTrending Telus picks former CIBC CEO Victor Dodig to replace Entwistle at helm Telecom Trump rebuked as U.S. House votes against some tariffs on Canada Economy Posthaste: Why Canada's job market is in a lot worse shape than you think News BlackBerry cofounder Michael Lazaridis invests in Vancouver-based AI startup Innovation Subscriber only. These are the TFSA and RRSP tricks that can make you a fortune Subscriber only Personal Finance Share this article in your social networkCommentsYou must be logged in to join the discussion or read more comments.Create an AccountSign in Join the Conversation Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion. Please keep comments relevant and respectful. Comments may take up to an hour to appear on the site. You will receive an email if there is a reply to your comment, an update to a thread you follow or if a user you follow comments. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information. Telus picks former CIBC CEO Victor Dodig to replace Entwistle at helm Telecom Trump rebuked as U.S. House votes against some tariffs on Canada Economy Posthaste: Why Canada's job market is in a lot worse shape than you think News BlackBerry cofounder Michael Lazaridis invests in Vancouver-based AI startup Innovation Subscriber only. These are the TFSA and RRSP tricks that can make you a fortune Subscriber only Personal Finance

Read Original

Tags

quantum-finance
partnership

Source Information

Source: Financial Post

Discussion

0 professional contributions

Sign in to join this professional discussion.

Be the first to add a constructive contribution.