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Down More Than 55% From Its High, Is Archer Aviation Stock in Trouble?

newsfeedback@fool.com (David Jagielski, CPA)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The eVTOL pioneer plans to launch its Midnight aircraft for passenger flights in 2026, marking a critical operational milestone after years of certification delays and investor anticipation. Operating expenses surged 43% to $730 million in 2025 as production scaled, with costs expected to climb further, raising concerns about profitability despite revenue remaining negligible for now. Shares have plummeted 55% from their October 2025 peak ($14.62) amid cooling investor enthusiasm for high-risk growth stocks with unproven business models and distant revenue timelines. The global eVTOL market is projected to grow at 54.9% CAGR through 2030, but Archer’s $4.7 billion valuation may still price in excessive optimism given ongoing losses and untested commercial viability. Analysts warn volatility will persist until passenger operations begin and financial clarity emerges, advising caution despite the stock’s steep decline and speculative growth potential.
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By David Jagielski, CPA – Mar 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ESTKey PointsArcher's Midnight aircraft might begin transporting passengers on flights later this year.The company's operating expenses totaled $730 million last year, and that figure is likely to rise a whole lot higher in the future.The stock's valuation has been coming down in recent months, but it still doesn't look all that low.Excitement looks to have cooled when it comes to risky growth stocks, particularly those that still have unproven business models. Archer Aviation (ACHR +4.31%) is a great example of that, as its stock price has declined 23% over the past six months. Shares of the electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) company reached a high of $14.62 in October, but they're now down around 55% from that level. It could be a while before the company starts generating revenue, and meanwhile, its losses are piling up. Is Archer's stock in danger of going even lower, or could this be a good growth stock to add to your portfolio today, at a significantly reduced price? Image source: Getty Images. Archer expects to begin carrying passengers this year It's been a painstaking process for investors to wait for Archer to obtain certification and commence its air taxi services, but 2026 could indeed be the year it finally happens. The company says it's targeting this year as to when its Midnight aircraft will begin carrying passengers. It'll be a huge milestone for the business, which, if it goes smoothly, could attract a lot of attention to the eVTOL stock. It will, however, likely take even longer before the company generates any meaningful revenue. Last year, the company's operating expenses totaled $730 million, an increase of 43% from the previous year, as the company ramped up its production efforts. And its costs will likely only rise higher in the years ahead, as it looks to scale its operations. ExpandNYSE: ACHRArcher AviationToday's Change(4.31%) $0.27Current Price$6.53Key Data PointsMarket Cap$4.7BDay's Range$6.08 - $6.5452wk Range$5.48 - $14.62Volume1.1MAvg Vol37MGross Margin-663333.33% Is investing in Archer stock a good move today? Archer's growth opportunities are enticing as it's one of the early leaders in the eVTOL space. The global market is expected to experience tremendous growth in the years ahead. Analysts at Grand View Research project that it will grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 54.9% until the end of the decade. If Archer can capitalize on those growth opportunities, it could end up being a red-hot growth stock to own. There is, however, no shortage of challenges and obstacles ahead. Even if the company generates a ton of revenue, that may not necessarily translate into profit anytime soon. And with valuations of eVTOL stocks already being fairly significant (Archer has a market cap of just under $5 billion while rival Joby Aviation is worth close to $10 billion), the danger is that there may still be too much bullishness priced into these stocks. Investors may be better off waiting when it comes to Archer's stock, as right now, there's still plenty of risk here. Until the company starts transporting people on its Midnight aircraft and there's a clearer picture of what its financials might look like in the future, I'd steer clear of the stock as it's likely to remain volatile for the foreseeable future.Read NextMar 8, 2026 •By Thomas NielThe Smartest Growth Stock to Buy With $1,000 Right NowMar 4, 2026 •By Rick MunarrizCathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just BoughtMar 3, 2026 •By Rich SmithWhy Archer Aviation Stock Just CrashedFeb 26, 2026 •By Jack DelaneyShould You Buy Archer Aviation Below $7?

The Bull Case (and the Big Risk).Feb 19, 2026 •By Rick OrfordShould You Buy Archer Aviation Before FAA Progress Updates?Feb 18, 2026 •By Chris NeigerWhere Will Archer Aviation Be in 3 Years?About the AuthorDavid Jagielski, CPA, has been a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering healthcare, consumer staples, consumer discretionary, and technology stocks since 2017. David has more than 10 years of experience in finance roles across businesses of different sizes and sectors. He holds a Certified Public Accountant designation in Canada.TMFdjagielskiStocks MentionedArcher AviationNYSE: ACHR$6.53(+4.31%)+$0.27Joby AviationNYSE: JOBY$10.06(+5.29%)+$0.51*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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