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3 Dividend ETFs with 25% Upside Over the Next Year, According to Wall Street Analysts

newsfeedback@fool.com (David Dierking)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Wall Street analysts project three dividend ETFs—TDV, CGDV, and DGRW—could surge 25%+ over the next year, driven by a 2026 market shift favoring value and defensive stocks after years of AI-driven tech dominance. Tech exposure underpins the upside, with all three ETFs holding significant allocations (29-81%) in the sector, despite their dividend-focused mandates. Analysts cite strong earnings growth and moderated valuations as key catalysts. TDV targets tech "Dividend Aristocrats" with 7+ years of payout growth, featuring lesser-known firms like Avnet and Cognex alongside Apple and Cisco, blending stability with tech-driven growth potential. CGDV, an active fund, prioritizes yield-beating stocks (current yield: 1.3%) and holds top tech giants Microsoft and Nvidia, while DGRW screens for quality metrics like ROE, merging dividend growth with large-cap stability. The rotation reflects a broader trend: dividend stocks, once overshadowed by AI hype, now offer compelling upside as cyclical and tech-adjacent strategies regain favor amid shifting market dynamics.
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By David Dierking – Apr 10, 2026 at 1:30PM ESTKey PointsThe market rotation into value and non-tech has opened the doors for bigger returns from dividend stocks.These three dividend ETFs all have higher tech exposure, which is what's driving analyst estimates at the moment.Looking at analyst estimates for the funds' individual holdings, these dividend ETFs have some of the highest share price growth targets over the next year.Dividend stocks are making a comeback in 2026 thanks to the market rotation that favors value and defensive stocks. After years of underperformance during the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, a lot of these stocks and the ETFs that invest in them have some intriguing upside potential. The ETFs with the highest potential returns over the next 12 months, according to Wall Street analyst estimates, offer a mix of strategies and sector exposures. The ETF Action database, which compiles these forecasts for each of the fund's individual holdings, suggests that dividend growth and a mix of tech & cyclical themes provide the biggest upside over the next year. Here are three dividend ETFs that, according to these analyst price estimates, could see their share prices rise by at least 25%. Image source: Getty Images. ProShares S&P Technology Dividend Aristocrats ETF The ProShares S&P Technology Dividend Aristocrats ETF (TDV 0.03%) invests in U.S. technology and tech-related companies that have paid and grown their dividends for at least seven consecutive years (the term Dividend Aristocrats® is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC). It's not surprising that analysts think highly of the tech sector right now. But this is far from your traditional tech ETF. Top holdings here include Avnet, Cognex, and Power Integrations. You'd have to go further down the list to find names like Apple, Applied Materials, Cisco Systems, and Texas Instruments. This is a tech ETF with a lower growth & volatility profile. ExpandNYSEMKT: TDVProShares S&P Technology Dividend Aristocrats ETFToday's Change(-0.03%) $-0.03Current Price$89.22Key Data PointsDay's Range$89.22 - $89.7752wk Range$65.06 - $92.39Volume4.2K Capital Group Dividend Value ETF The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF (CGDV +0.14%) aims to deliver a yield that exceeds the S&P 500 by focusing on companies that pay dividends or have the potential to do so. This is one of the more aggressive dividend ETFs you'll find due to its heavy tech tilt. That sector accounts for 30% of the portfolio and has Microsoft and Nvidia as the fund's two top holdings. Its mandate to produce a yield above the S&P 500's is a low bar to clear. And its ability to invest in companies with the potential to pay dividends means it casts a very wide net.

The Capital Group Dividend Value ETF isn't really a dividend ETF in the truest sense, but it is a portfolio with plenty of upside. ExpandNYSEMKT: CGDVCapital Group Dividend Value ETFToday's Change(0.14%) $0.07Current Price$44.74Key Data PointsDay's Range$44.69 - $44.9752wk Range$32.51 - $46.01Volume3.4MAvg Vol5.2MDividend Yield1.27% WisdomTree U.S.

Quality Dividend Growth ETF The WisdomTree U.S.

Quality Dividend Growth ETF (DGRW 0.41%) tracks an index of U.S. dividend-paying, large-cap companies with strong growth characteristics. You might begin noticing a theme here. This ETF also has nearly 30% of its portfolio invested in tech. But its focus on quality metrics, such as forward-looking earnings estimates and return on equity (ROE), provides a differentiator. The dual screen on quality and dividend growth makes for an ideal long-term holding, even though it's the short-term upside potential that's so attractive. ExpandNASDAQ: DGRWWisdomTree U.S.

Quality Dividend Growth FundToday's Change(-0.41%) $-0.37Current Price$90.41Key Data PointsDay's Range$90.34 - $91.0852wk Range$72.92 - $94.01Volume263K Three dividend ETFs with 25%-plus upside potential MetricTDVCGDVDGRWStrategyTechnology dividend growersActive U.S. stocks with above-average yieldDividend growers with a quality screenNo. of Holdings3853198Expense ratio0.45%0.33%0.28%Dividend yield1.1%1.3%1.3%Top sectorsTechnology (81%), financials (10%)Technology (30%), industrials (15%)Technology (29%), healthcare (14%)Analyst upside+26%+27%+25% Source: ProShares, Capital Group, and WisdomTree. Tech exposure is driving the estimated upside in these three dividend ETFs. Normally, that would concern me, especially given how far tech has run over the past few years. But valuations have come down, and earnings growth estimates remain high. These ETFs might not be as defensive as more traditional dividend ETFs, but the case for high upside is justified.Read NextApr 10, 2026 •By Anders BylundWhy Market Indexes Aren't Panicking TodayApr 10, 2026 •By Motley Fool StaffFive Years Later: The Honest Report Card on Our 2021 April Fools PortfolioApr 10, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanMarch CPI Came In at 3.3%.

Gasoline Alone Added Over Half a Percentage Point.

Here Is What That Tells Investors About What Could Come NextApr 10, 2026 •By Stefon Walters3 Key Takeaways from the S&P 500's Worst-Performing Quarter Since 2022Apr 10, 2026 •By The Motley Fool TeamStock Market Today (LIVE): LUNR Climbs 10% As Artemis Nears; Tesla Faces 8-Week Losing StreakApr 10, 2026 •By David DierkingStop Chasing the S&P 500. This Vanguard ETF Has Beaten It Over the Last Decade.Stocks MentionedCapital Group Dividend Value ETFNYSEMKT: CGDV$44.75(+0.14%)+$0.07WisdomTree U.S.

Quality Dividend Growth FundNASDAQ: DGRW$90.41(-0.41%)-$0.37ProShares S&P Technology Dividend Aristocrats ETFNYSEMKT: TDV$89.22(-0.03%)-$0.03*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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