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Is Cleveland-Cliffs Stock a Steal Buy After Falling Off the Cliff This Week?

newsfeedback@fool.com (Neha Chamaria)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Steel producer shares plunged 32.5% this week after reporting a $1.4 billion 2025 net loss—double 2024’s losses—despite management forecasting a 2026 recovery driven by rising steel prices and automotive demand rebound. The sell-off worsened after CEO Lourenco Goncalves sold 3 million shares at $12.42 amid the slump, sparking investor concerns despite potential tax or diversification motives for the move. Key 2025 headwinds included slumping U.S. auto production and an unprofitable ArcelorMittal slab contract termination, both weighing on profitability before tariff-driven market shifts took effect. Management projects 2026 turnaround with steel prices up nearly $60/ton sequentially and Canadian import restrictions benefiting subsidiary Stelco, signaling potential margin recovery. Analysts note the stock’s volatility but highlight its turnaround potential if automotive orders and steel pricing trends materialize as forecasted.
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The steel stock is getting hammered despite management projecting a stronger year ahead.Shares of Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF 1.86%) got clobbered this week, plunging 32.5% at their lowest point in trading through 11 a.m. Friday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The steel stock's fourth-quarter and 2025 results announced this week were nothing to brag about, but investors may be overlooking a significant turning point. Some of the biggest macro challenges of last year are already behind the company, and management sees a strong recovery in 2026 as market dynamics change and steel prices rise. Image source: Getty Images. Why the steel stock is getting crushed 2025 was a challenging year for Cleveland-Cliffs as demand from its key market, automotive, slumped on declining vehicle production in the U.S. Cleveland-Cliffs also ended a major five-year steel slab contract with ArcelorMittal USA after sales became unprofitable in 2025, the final year of the deal, due to a tariff-driven gap between the slab contract price and the market price. Cleveland-Cliffs acquired ArcelorMittal USA in 2020, but it came with a catch: a contract to supply steel slabs to steel maker, ArcelorMittal's remaining non-U.S. facilities. Cleveland-Cliffs' earnings report, released this week, revealed a $1.4 billion net loss for 2025 , roughly twice the 2024 loss. ExpandNYSE: CLFCleveland-CliffsToday's Change(-1.86%) $-0.20Current Price$10.56Key Data PointsMarket Cap$6.1BDay's Range$9.95 - $10.9752wk Range$5.63 - $16.70Volume1.2MAvg Vol17MGross Margin-405.70% The steel stock crashed post-earnings, but the sell-off intensified after CEO Lourenco Goncalves sold three million shares at an average price of $12.42 per share on Feb. 11. Although CEOs may sell their shares for several reasons such as tax planning, the magnitude of the sale, especially during the stock's price slump, left investors jittery. Can Cleveland-Cliffs stock rebound in 2026? Goncalves expects a much stronger year ahead for Cleveland-Cliffs. Automotive volumes are recovering, with Cleveland-Cliffs already securing orders from some of its clients, which should show up in revenue and earnings in 2026. Improving end markets have also sent steel prices surging. With hot-rolled oil-steel sitting at two-year management expects substantially higher realized prices in the first quarter -- nearly $60 per ton higher sequentially -- and even better prices as the year progresses. Meanwhile, Cleveland-Cliffs' Canadian subsidiary Stelco should see better days ahead, what with the Canadian government imposing restrictions on steel imports from December 2025. Cleveland-Cliffs looks like a potential turnaround stock worth watching in 2026. Read NextFeb 9, 2026 •By Howard SmithStock Market Today, Feb. 9: Cleveland-Cliffs Shares Slide After Revenue Miss and Full-Year Net LossFeb 9, 2026 •By Howard SmithWhy Cleveland-Cliffs Stock Crashed TodayJan 17, 2026 •By Howard SmithWhy Did Cleveland-Cliffs Stock Jump This Week?Jan 7, 2026 •By Eric VolkmanWhy Cleveland-Cliffs Stock Got Rocked on WednesdayOct 20, 2025 •By Howard SmithWhy Cleveland-Cliffs Stock Popped TodayOct 8, 2025 •By Eric VolkmanWhy Investors Were Fired up About Cleveland-Cliffs Stock TodayAbout the AuthorNeha Chamaria is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering energy, industrials, utilities, and materials sectors, with a focus on dividend stocks. Prior to The Motley Fool, Neha worked on portfolio valuations for hedge funds at HSBC and authored articles as a journalist. She holds a master’s degree in finance from ICFAI and an MBA from Symbiosis University, along with certifications from the National Stock Exchange of India. Neha was honored with an all-India gold medal for her M.S. in Finance and was the first woman in her family to pursue a professional career.TMFNehamsX@nehamschamariaStocks MentionedCleveland-CliffsNYSE: CLF$10.56 (1.86%) $0.20ArcelorMittalNYSE: MT$61.41 (0.29%) $0.18*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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