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China’s Stocks, Bonds in Rare Sync as War Drives Haven Demand

Iris Ouyang, Jeanny Yu
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Chinese stocks and bonds are moving in rare synchronization for the first time since 2024, driven by heightened haven demand amid the US-Iran conflict. The 90-day correlation between the CSI 300 Index and China’s Treasury Total Return Index turned positive on March 18, signaling aligned investor sentiment toward equities and fixed income. China’s assets have outperformed global peers as Beijing’s economic insulation strategies, particularly against oil shocks, bolstered stability during geopolitical turmoil. Investors are flocking to Chinese markets as safer alternatives, reversing typical inverse stock-bond trends seen in other regions under stress. The shift reflects broader market confidence in China’s resilience, contrasting with volatility in Western and Middle Eastern assets amid escalating tensions.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Stocks and bonds in China are moving in lockstep for the first time in two years, a reflection of how Chinese assets benefited as safer bets during the US-Iran war.The 90-day correlation between the equities benchmark CSI 300 Index and the Bloomberg China Treasury Total Return Index has turned positive from March 18, according to Bloomberg-compiled data. Beijing’s efforts to insulate its economy from oil shocks have paid dividends, with Chinese assets holding up better than global peers.

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