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Can Circle Keep Growing Even if Stablecoins Get Shackled?

newsfeedback@fool.com (Leo Sun)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Circle’s stock plunged 20% after a Senate draft of the U.S. Clarity Act proposed banning stablecoin yields, threatening its core revenue model tied to USD Coin (USDC) growth. USDC, the second-largest stablecoin, relies on demand-driven minting—backed by cash and Treasuries—to generate reserve interest income, Circle’s primary profit source. Stablecoin yields, often higher than traditional savings rates, attract users for cross-border payments and inflation hedges but face regulatory scrutiny as a threat to banks and the dollar. Without yields, USDC’s appeal could wane, pushing investors toward alternatives like Ether, though the Act’s final passage remains uncertain until late 2026. Circle may offset risks via transaction fees and APIs, but its 24% projected growth hinges on regulatory clarity, leaving investors cautious amid volatility.
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By Leo Sun – Mar 25, 2026 at 1:07PM ESTKey PointsCircle needs to keep minting more USD Coins to grow its profits.But the latest draft of the U.S. Clarity Act calls for a complete ban on stablecoin yields.Circle's (CRCL +1.41%) stock sank 20% on March 24 after a complete ban on stablecoin yields was proposed in the Senate's latest draft of the U.S. Clarity Act. Let's see why that update spooked Circle's investors and how much that possible ban could impact its long-term growth. Why do stablecoin yields matter to Circle? Circle issues USD Coin (USDC 0.01%), a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar and backed by its cash and U.S. Treasuries held by regulated custodians. It's the world's second-most-valuable stablecoin after Tether. Image source: Getty Images. Stablecoins can be used to settle cross-border transactions at faster and cheaper rates than conventional interbank transfers. Companies like Visa and Intuit have already been integrating USD Coin into their platforms to accelerate their financial transactions. Stablecoins are also an easy way for people to preserve their savings in countries with hyperinflation and currency devaluation issues without buying actual U.S. dollars. Stablecoins can be staked (locked up) on centralized exchanges and decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols to earn yields higher than those of dollar-based savings accounts. Those strengths make stablecoins a threat to the U.S. dollar and traditional banks. ExpandNYSE: CRCLCircle Internet GroupToday's Change(1.41%) $1.43Current Price$102.60Key Data PointsMarket Cap$25BDay's Range$101.62 - $110.2452wk Range$31.00 - $298.99Volume862KAvg Vol15MGross Margin5.88% Circle generates most of its profits from reserve interest income, or the interest it earns on bank deposits and short-term Treasuries held in its own reserves (to back USD Coin). To keep growing, Circle needs the market's demand for USD Coin to keep rising. To meet that demand, Circle will increase its reserves to mint more USD Coins, thereby boosting its reserve interest income. But if that demand sputters out, its revenue and profit will decline. If the U.S. government bans all stablecoin yields -- presumably to protect conventional banks and consumers from unscrupulous exchanges and DeFi pools -- they'll become a lot less appealing than U.S. dollars. Cryptocurrency investors seeking higher yields could also pivot toward Ether and other tokens with staking features. What should Circle investors do right now? A complete ban on stablecoin yields would certainly throttle Circle's growth, but the U.S. Clarity Act is still being drafted and probably won't be passed until later this year. Therefore, we shouldn't jump to conclusions and assume all stablecoin yields will be banned. Even without stablecoin yields, Circle can continue generating additional interest income from its current reserves while generating more revenue from transaction and subscription fees across its expanding ecosystem of APIs, digital wallets, and other applications. Circle's stock trades at eight times this year's sales, which is reasonable relative to analysts' expectations for a 24% CAGR from 2025 to 2028. While the latest draft of the Clarity Act raises red flags, investors should wait for more information before heading for the exits.Read NextMar 25, 2026 •By David Jagielski, CPACircle Internet Group Stock Is Crashing Due to Uncertainty Around the Clarity Act.

Should You Buy the Dip?Mar 25, 2026 •By Rick MunarrizCathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just BoughtMar 24, 2026 •By Emma NewberyStock Market Today, March 24: Circle Internet Dives on Possible Stablecoin Yield RestrictionsMar 24, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanWhy Circle Internet Group Stock Was Tumbling TodayMar 23, 2026 •By Emma NewberyCircle Soared Almost 60% This Year: 1 Reason It Will Grow More and 1 Reason to Be CautiousMar 18, 2026 •By Jack CaporalHow Are Banks, Card Networks, and Payment Processors Adapting to Stablecoins?About the AuthorLeo Sun is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst who has worked with the company since 2013, covering technology, consumer goods, industrial, and financial sectors. He became a self-made millionaire by age 40 through long-term investing, crediting lessons from Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch. Leo is a regular guest on CNBC Asia providing stock analysis on Chinese technology companies, including Tencent, Baidu, and Alibaba. He previously wrote for InvestorGuide and holds a bachelor’s degree in English from the University of Texas at Austin.TMFSunLionX@TMFSunLionStocks MentionedCircle Internet GroupNYSE: CRCL$102.25(+1.07%)+$1.08VisaNYSE: V$305.06(+0.43%)+$1.30IntuitNASDAQ: INTU$425.70(-1.56%)-$6.75EthereumCRYPTO: ETH$2,165.90(+2.19%)+$46.42USDCCRYPTO: USDC$1.00(-0.01%)-$0.00TetherCRYPTO: USDT$1.00(+0.01%)+$0.00*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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