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Bloom Energy: 115x Earnings Is Not Expensive Enough

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⚡ Quantum Brief
Bloom Energy is positioned as a critical player in addressing AI data center power shortages, alongside GE Vernova, by providing rapid-deployment energy solutions amid surging U.S. demand. U.S. power demand is forecast to grow from 4,195 billion kWh in 2025 to 4,381 billion kWh by 2027, with PJM warning of supply shortages as early as 2025, amplifying Bloom’s strategic value. The company’s ability to deliver power solutions in 90 days—including a 55-day hyperscaler project—underscores its agility in meeting urgent data center expansion needs. Bloom’s backlog hit $20 billion last quarter, with product orders up 2.5x YoY and service contracts rising 46%, signaling robust long-term demand despite recent margin pressures. Despite a 115x forward P/E, the author argues Bloom’s market timing justifies its valuation, though margin erosion remains a key risk to monitor.
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Deep Value Investing12.09K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(11min)Comment(1)SummaryI see Bloom Energy as one of the two main picks and shovels plays in the AI data center power bottleneck trade. GE Vernova is the other player.U.S. power demand is projected to rise from 4,195 billion kWh in 2025 to 4,381 billion kWh in 2027, while PJM is projecting supply shortages as early as next year.Bloom’s ability to deliver power in 90 days, including one hyperscaler order completed in 55 days, is central to my bull thesis.Backlog stood at $20 billion last quarter, including about $6 billion in product backlog, up roughly 2.5x yoy, and $14 billion in service backlog, up 46% yoy.Overall, I see the right business model at the right time. Therefore, the 115x forward P/E doesn't make me sweat. That said, the recent margin deterioration does.tiero/iStock via Getty Images I initiate coverage on Bloom Energy Corporation (BE) with a buy rating mainly because I believe the company is in the right place at the right time. As data centers are expanding faster than utilities canThis article was written byDeep Value Investing12.09K FollowersFollowSmall deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well, you can land a Jumbo on the spread and still have clearance for take-off. From time to time, I buy shares, mostly to not be categorized as a degen by my fellow investor friends, therefore the 50%-50% allocation. My timeframe tends to be between 3-24 months.I like stocks that have experienced a recent sell-off due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at the new lower price. This is how I often screen through thousands of stocks, mainly in the US, although I may own shares in banana republics. I use fundamental analysis to check the health of companies that pass through my screening process, their leverage, and then compare their financial ratios with the sector, and industry median and average. I also do professional background checks of each insider who purchased shares after the recent sell-off. I use technical analysis to optimize the entry and exit points of my positions. I mainly use multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts. From time to time I draw trend lines, taken for granted, in multicolor patterns. Note: I tried to keep my introduction as real, and authentic as possible. I dislike empty suits, high-level BS, deep-level BS, unnecessary jargon, and self-indulgent, third-person written introductions with an air of superiority.Thanks for reading my introduction!Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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