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Bitcoin After The Cycle Peak: What Comes Next And How We're Positioning

Seeking Alpha
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Analyst Knox Ridley projects Bitcoin will rebound to $84,000–$107,000 in 2026, citing crowd psychology and technical patterns after its late-2024 peak. Bitcoin’s market internals weakened before its 2024 high, with declining volume signaling reduced momentum despite price gains. Coinbase’s correlation with Bitcoin is used to validate the forecast, reinforcing the expected bounce as both assets often move in tandem. Ridley’s strategy combines Fibonacci, Elliott Wave, and Gann Cycles, emphasizing risk management to capitalize on high-probability trades. The report warns against narrative-driven investing, noting Bitcoin frequently defies prevailing market stories, requiring technical analysis over sentiment.
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Knox RidleyInvesting GroupFollow5ShareSavePlay(10min)CommentsSummaryIn this report, I’ll outline where crowd psychology is most likely to push Bitcoin in the coming months. I'll also examine Coinbase—given its correlation with Bitcoin—to help confirm the path.Bitcoin’s internals shifted into a less constructive posture well before the top. Note how volume expanded alongside price from the 2022 low into the late-2024 high.My base case is that Bitcoin is setting up for a large bounce to the $84,000-$107,000 region.Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Tech Insider Network. Learn More » cemagraphics/iStock via Getty Images Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rarely rewards narrative-based investors for long. Time and again, it has shown a habit of reversing its dominant trend against the prevailing story of the moment. A large portion of the Tech Insider Network’s edgeThis article was written byKnox Ridley2.81K FollowersFollowKnox Ridley has been tasked to find the best entries and exits on the stocks his fundamentals team says will be the next FAANG. To say he’s done this well is an understatement. As one of the portfolio managers of the Tech Insider Network, he has consistently beaten his benchmark, as well as the top-performing fund managers on Wall Street in 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024. Knox began his career as an ETF wholesaler in 2007 before becoming a portfolio consultant for large RIAs, FAs, and Institutional accounts. A keen observer of macro trends, Knox is trained in Fibonacci Trading, Elliott Wave Theory, and Gann Cycles. Unlike most portfolio managers, he integrates advanced technical analysis with automated quantitative signals to manage risk and identify high-probability opportunities. Knox is especially strong in risk management. This helps Premium Members of Tech Insider Network participate in upside while protecting themselves from downside. For decades, Knox has seen the inexperienced gain large amounts and then lose large amounts. He is diligent in dedicating time to sharing risk management strategies on the forum, through real-time trade notifications, and in weekly webinars. You will not find a more grounded and accessible portfolio manager who is willing to share his daily moves as he seeks to beat Wall Street for years to come.Learn More.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BTC-USD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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