Back to News
investment

Better Space Stock: Rocket Lab vs. Firefly Aerospace

newsfeedback@fool.com (Brett Schafer)
Loading...
4 min read
0 likes
⚡ Quantum Brief
Space stocks are surging ahead of SpaceX’s potential record-breaking IPO, with Rocket Lab and Firefly Aerospace emerging as key publicly traded players in commercial and defense launch markets. Rocket Lab leads with 21 successful Electron launches in 2025, securing 30+ new contracts, while its space systems division generated $403M—outpacing its $199M launch revenue—though it posted a $200M net loss. Firefly, newer to public markets, raised $868M in 2025 but trails Rocket Lab, with $160M revenue and a larger $300M net loss, despite a successful April Alpha launch and a NASA-partnered lunar lander mission. Rocket Lab’s higher valuation (P/S 60 vs. Firefly’s 32) reflects its stronger operational track record, though neither stock is currently priced as a bargain for short-term investors. Analysts favor Rocket Lab for long-term growth due to its proven launch demand, expanding Neutron rocket ambitions, and diversified revenue streams, despite profitability remaining elusive.
AI Audio Summary
0:00 / 0:00
Click to play
quantum computing images (1).jpg
Quantum News · Media Library

By Brett Schafer – Apr 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ESTKey PointsSpace stocks are hot commodities at the moment with the upcoming SpaceX IPO.Rocket Lab and Firefly Aerospace are both vying to send commercial payloads into orbit. It is clear which one is the better buy if you look at the underlying business performance. Space is back in the lexicon.

The United States just sent a mission back to orbit the Moon for the first time in decades, and SpaceX is rapidly approaching an initial public offering (IPO) that may be the largest in history. Investors are excited about the space economy and what it can bring to the future of civilization, as well as to their portfolios. Two publicly traded space flight companies you can buy right now are Rocket Lab (RKLB 1.18%) and Firefly Aerospace (FLY 1.26%). Both have successfully launched rockets into orbit and have ambitions to become contractors for the space economy, both commercially and for defense projects. But which stock is the better buy today? Image source: Getty Images. Rocket Lab's lead Rocket Lab was started by a whipsmart New Zealander named Peter Beck. It is the furthest along in commercial rocket launches after SpaceX, having launched its small Electron rocket 21 times in 2025 alone. There is a lot of momentum with its launch business, signing over 30 new launches last year for the Electron. In the future, it hopes to deploy its larger Neutron rocket that will directly compete with SpaceX for launches. In addition to launches, Rocket Lab has built a division that sells space equipment, systems, and services to its launch customers. This has grown into a $403 million revenue business last year, which is actually larger than its launch revenue of $199 million. The future looks bright for Rocket Lab, and it should have plenty of demand for its launch services in the years ahead. The only question is when it will become profitable. Net loss was $200 million last year. ExpandNASDAQ: RKLBRocket LabToday's Change(-1.18%) $-0.80Current Price$66.87Key Data PointsMarket Cap$39BDay's Range$64.14 - $68.2952wk Range$16.73 - $99.58Volume357KAvg Vol22MGross Margin31.66% Firefly's grand ambitions Firefly is behind Rocket Lab in commercialization, but is nipping at its heels. It went public last year, raising $868 million to further its ambitions to become a leader in space flight and the space defense business. Launching its Alpha rocket has been a fit-and-start affair, but it successfully launched in April, which will hopefully lead to more revenue from commercial customers in the near future. It works more in the space systems segment today, with a highlight from the year being its lunar lander mission, the first commercial company to make this venture, in partnership with NASA. Revenue at Firefly is smaller than Rocket Lab, at $160 million in 2025. However, it is actually losing more money, with a net loss of almost $300 million. Hopefully, this figure can improve in the years ahead. ExpandNASDAQ: FLYFirefly AerospaceToday's Change(-1.26%) $-0.44Current Price$34.41Key Data PointsMarket Cap$5.6BDay's Range$32.16 - $34.4552wk Range$16.00 - $73.80Volume3.9MAvg Vol4.4MGross Margin17.12% Which is the better buy? With a better track record in launching payloads for commercial customers, Rocket Lab looks like a better business than Firefly Aerospace right now. It does trade at a higher price-to-sales ratio (P/S) -- 60 for Rocket Lab vs. 32 for Firefly -- but that won't matter as much if you have a time horizon longer than a year with your investment. Neither of the stocks looks cheap today. However, if I were forced to choose one to buy, it would be Rocket Lab in a heartbeat.Read NextApr 6, 2026 •By Rick OrfordWhy Rocket Lab's Rally Could Be Just Getting StartedApr 6, 2026 •By Will EbiefungWhere Will Rocket Lab Stock Be in 5 Years?Apr 5, 2026 •By Keith SpeightsIs SpaceX the Once‑in‑a‑Generation Investment Everyone Will Wish They Bought?Apr 5, 2026 •By Catie HoganThe Market Is a Mess. Still, These 2 Industrial Stocks Are Worth Buying in April.Apr 2, 2026 •By Matt DiLalloCan You Invest in SpaceX Pre-IPO? Here's What You Need to KnowApr 1, 2026 •By Rick OrfordPrediction: Rocket Lab Could Soar if This $1 Billion Bet Pays OffAbout the AuthorBrett Schafer is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering consumer goods, financials, technology, and industrials. Brett is a self-taught investor and has hosted the Chit Chat Stocks podcast since 2018. He previously worked as a lab engineer for science laboratories. He holds a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering with minors in finance and mathematics from Washington State University. His lab work on Major League Baseball’s juiced ball problem was featured in The Wall Street Journal and other national outlets.TMFBrettSchaferX@CCM_BrettStocks MentionedRocket LabNASDAQ: RKLB$66.87(-1.18%)-$0.80Firefly AerospaceNASDAQ: FLY$34.12(-2.10%)-$0.73*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Read Original

Tags

aerospace-defense
quantum-investment

Source Information

Source: The Motley Fool

Discussion

0 professional contributions

Sign in to join this professional discussion.

Be the first to add a constructive contribution.