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Better Artificial Intelligence Stock: Navitas vs. Arm

newsfeedback@fool.com (Dave Kovaleski)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Arm Holdings outperforms Navitas Semiconductor as an AI investment despite Navitas’ 188% stock surge over the past year, with Arm’s 13% YTD gain and stronger market position. Navitas is pivoting from consumer gallium nitride chips to AI data centers, EVs, and industrial markets under its "Navitas 2.0" strategy, but revenue is expected to drop to $7M in Q4 2025. Arm dominates smartphone CPU designs (99% market share) and is expanding into AI data centers, where its royalties grew 100% YoY, with 50% hyperscaler market share. Navitas faces fierce competition in AI infrastructure, with analysts projecting profitability only by 2028, while Arm’s data center segment could surpass mobile revenue within years. Arm’s high valuation remains a risk, but its 18% projected Q4 revenue growth and 50% CAGR through 2030 make it the safer long-term AI play.
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Navitas stock has jumped 188% over the past year, but is it a better buy?Artificial intelligence (AI) has fueled the returns of many technology stocks in recent years and, in many cases, has caused companies to shift their focus to AI. That is the case with two AI stocks, Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS +2.85%) and Arm Holdings (ARM 1.45%). These technology companies have moved aggressively into AI infrastructure and captured the attention of investors. Navitas, a chipmaker, has seen its stock price surge 188% over the past 12 months. Image source: Getty Images. Chip designer Arm's stock price is up 13% year to date, but down 21% over the past year. But Arm stands out as the better buy right now. Here's why. The Navitas 2.0 pivot Navitas makes gallium nitride chips, which are used in smartphones and consumer electronics. These types of chips are considered more powerful and efficient than traditional silicon chips in those devices. Navitas is one of a handful of leaders in this space. ExpandNASDAQ: NVTSNavitas SemiconductorToday's Change(2.85%) $0.23Current Price$8.11Key Data PointsMarket Cap$1.9BDay's Range$7.78 - $8.2552wk Range$1.52 - $17.79Volume371KAvg Vol20MGross Margin-914.52% However, it is in the process of pivoting toward providing chips for larger power markets like AI data centers, electric vehicles, and certain industrial markets. Leadership calls the pivot Navitas 2.0, as Chris Allexandre, president and CEO, explained last November: "Navitas' decade-long technology leadership in gallium nitride (GaN), and high-voltage silicon carbide (SiC) strongly positions us to capitalize on these global megatrends. We are executing a strategic pivot from consumer and mobile markets to these fast-growing, more profitable, more sustainable higher-power segments." Revenue will take a hit, as the firm anticipates just $7 million in revenue in Q4 2025 during this pivot. That's down from $10 million in Q3 and $22 million in the third quarter of 2024. For the year, analysts anticipate just $36 million in revenue, down from $45 million last fiscal year. But Navitas is confident that with its partnerships with hyperscalers like Nvidia, its strong brand and technology, and the expected boom in AI factories, it can accelerate revenue generation over time. Analysts project about $130 million in revenue and $18 million in earnings by 2028. It is a bold pivot by Navitas, but analysts are pretty mixed on it. While the AI data center market has massive and growing demand, there are many larger competitors that it must contend with. It is indeed a gamble that is not expected to pay off until 2027 or 2028, if revenue projections are correct. The case for Arm Arm is better positioned for both the short term and the long term. The UK-based company designs CPU chips and licenses the technology to other companies so they can build their chips with Arm's designs. ExpandNASDAQ: ARMArm HoldingsToday's Change(-1.45%) $-1.82Current Price$123.76Key Data PointsMarket Cap$131BDay's Range$121.92 - $126.7152wk Range$80.00 - $183.16Volume140KAvg Vol5.7MGross Margin94.84% It is a dominant player in designing CPUs for mobile phones, with its CPU technology in about 99% of smartphones. But in recent years, it has begun to more aggressively expand its CPU designs to handle AI workloads as part of its AI Everywhere strategy. At the end of 2025, more than half of Arm's revenue was coming from nonmobile licenses, driven by AI data centers. On the fiscal year Q3 2026 (ended Dec. 31, 2025) earnings call, CEO Rene Anthony Andrada Haas said data center royalties grew 100% year over year. In addition, its market share among hyperscalers for AI data center CPUs is about 50%. That's up from around 18% in 2024. "We expect in a few years our data center business to be our largest business, larger than mobile," the CEO said. In fiscal Q4 2026 (ending March 31, 2026), Arm projects an 18% revenue increase over Q3. Looking out, some analysts project 50% compound annual growth for this segment through 2030. Navitas may get there someday in its pivot, but Arm is already there in its markets. It remains the dominant force in smartphone and consumer electronics CPU designs and is seeing incredible growth in data centers that is only accelerating. Wall Street analysts rate Arm as a consensus buy with a $147.50 median price target, which would represent 17% growth. The big concern for Arm is its valuation, which is sky high and is why the stock price has come down about 21%. Looking out, it could settle even lower, as investors take profits and sell high. While Arm is the better long-term play, look for an opportunity to get in at a lower valuation.Read NextFeb 15, 2026 •By James BrumleyPrediction: This AI Stock Will Recover Faster Than Microsoft After the Sell-OffFeb 10, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerArm Stock Rises on Accelerating AI Revenue, But a Big Risk RemainsFeb 7, 2026 •By Jeremy Bowman1 Reason Why Arm Holdings Stock Could SoarFeb 6, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanAnthropic's Claude Code Is Taking Over, And This AI Stock Could Be a Big WinnerFeb 6, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanWhy Arm Holdings Stock Was Moving Higher Again TodayFeb 5, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanWhy Arm Holdings Stock Was Climbing TodayAbout the AuthorDave mainly covers financials, consumer goods, and technology stocks and ETFs. He wrote for the Fool from 2019-2023 and rejoined the Fool in 2026. In the past he's covered mutual funds and institutional investments for Pensions & Investments, personal finance for S&P, money markets and bonds for Crane Data, and stocks for ValueWalk.TMFdkovaleskiStocks MentionedArm HoldingsNASDAQ: ARM$123.76 (1.45%) $1.82Navitas SemiconductorNASDAQ: NVTS$8.11 (+2.85%) $+0.23*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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