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Asia-Pacific markets set to fall as oil tops $100 amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions

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Asia-Pacific markets faced declines Monday as U.S.-Iran tensions escalated, with crude oil surpassing $100 per barrel for the first time since 2014. Investors reacted to potential strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island, a critical oil export hub. U.S. crude hit $101.32, up 2.64%, while Brent reached $106.17, rising 2.94%, after Trump authorized attacks on Iranian oil infrastructure. Analysts warn prolonged conflict could disrupt global supply chains and inflate energy costs further. Japan’s Nikkei 225 and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell, but Hong Kong’s Hang Seng defied the trend, opening slightly higher. U.S. stock futures rebounded modestly after last week’s losses, with Dow futures up 0.3%. Goldman Sachs projected a 0.3% global GDP contraction and 0.5-0.6% higher inflation due to energy price surges. Europe and Asia face heightened risks if the Strait of Hormuz closes, exacerbating economic strain. U.S. markets closed lower Friday, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.61%, now 5% below its peak. The Nasdaq and Dow also declined, extending a volatile week amid geopolitical uncertainty and inflation fears.
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In this articleAsia-Pacific markets were set to mostly decline Monday as investors continued to monitor elevated oil prices and the latest developments in the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict.U.S. crude prices topped $100 per barrel as the Trump administration weighed military strikes on Tehran's Kharg Island, a strategically vital hub often referred to as Iran's "oil lifeline."U.S. crude oil rose 2.64% to $101.32 per barrel by 6:15 p.m. ET. Brent prices, the international benchmark, were up 2.94% to $106.17 per barrel.President Donald Trump on Friday ordered strikes against Iranian military assets on Kharg Island and warned of further attacks on crude facilities located there. Mike Waltz, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, repeated the warning Sunday.Australia's S&P/ASX 200 declined 0.31% in early trade.Japan's Nikkei 225 was poised to fall, with the Chicago contract at 53,305 and the futures contract in Osaka at 52,910 compared with the index's previous close of 53,819.61.However, Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was set to open higher, with the futures contract at 25,481, compared with the index's last close of 25,465.6.Goldman Sachs estimates that the surge in energy prices stemming from the war in Iran could shave about 0.3% off global GDP over the next year, while pushing headline inflation higher by roughly 0.5% to 0.6%.Higher natural gas prices are expected to add further inflationary pressure and growth headwinds, particularly in Europe and Asia, with risks skewed toward larger impacts if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the bank wrote in a note on Sunday.Stock futures rose slightly as Wall Street tried to recover from another losing week.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 153 points, or 0.3%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% and Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.3%.Last Friday, the three major U.S. averages fell. The S&P 500 shed 0.61%, putting it 5% below its recent high and closing at 6,632.19.

The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.93% to end at 22,105.36.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 119.38 points, or 0.26%, and settled at 46,558.47.— CNBC's Sean Conlon and Pia Singh contributed to the report.Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you.Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inboxGet this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services.© 2026 Versant Media, LLC.

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