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1 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock to Buy Before It Soars 74% to Join Nvidia as a $4 Trillion-Dollar Company

newsfeedback@fool.com (Keith Noonan)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Amazon has underperformed the S&P 500 and most "Magnificent Seven" stocks over five years, gaining just 44% while Nvidia surged 1,330% on AI-driven GPU demand. The company’s $2.3 trillion valuation lags despite becoming the world’s largest by revenue ($716.9B in 2025), with AWS (18% of revenue) driving most profits but e-commerce margins remaining low. AI and robotics could transform Amazon’s cost structure, boosting e-commerce margins through warehouse automation, autonomous delivery, and operational efficiencies, unlocking significant earnings growth potential. AWS is already benefiting from AI demand, but broader margin improvements across retail—coupled with massive scale—could trigger a 74% stock surge, pushing its market cap toward $4 trillion. Analysts argue the market undervalues Amazon’s dual growth engines: AI-powered cloud expansion and e-commerce efficiency gains, positioning it as the next trillion-dollar AI-driven stock.
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By Keith Noonan – Mar 8, 2026 at 4:30PM ESTKey PointsAmazon stock has significantly underperformed the S&P 500 and most other "Magnificent Seven" stocks over the last five years. The company's cloud business is already seeing the benefits of artificial intelligence (AI), but the market appears to be undervaluing the potential in e-commerce. Amazon (AMZN 2.61%) has a market capitalization of $2.3 trillion, and its share price has moved 44% higher over the last five years. While the company's valuation still managed to march higher over the last half-decade, the cloud-computing and e-commerce giant has the unenviable distinction of being one of only two "Magnificent Seven" companies to underperform the S&P 500's level increase of roughly 80% over the stretch. Microsoft is the only other Mag 7 stock to lag behind the benchmark index, and its share-price gain of roughly 78% over the period is just slightly behind the index's. Meanwhile, Nvidia's stock has rocketed 1,330% higher over the last five years. The tech company's leadership position in advanced graphics processing units (GPUs) used for artificial intelligence (AI) processes has allowed its stock to post incredible gains. The rise of AI has also played a huge role in powering market-beating gains for most Magnificent Seven stocks. Image source: Getty Images. With many top tech companies seeing strong sales and earnings growth connected to AI, Amazon stock's relative underperformance stands out in a big way. On the other hand, there are good reasons to bet against the stock continuing to be a laggard. Read on to see why Amazon has the potential to surge 74% and join Nvidia in the $4 trillion club. Amazon is likely just starting to benefit from AI In 2025, Amazon posted sales of $716.9 billion and surpassed Walmart to become the world's largest company by revenue. While Amazon generates profit margins that are significantly better than Walmart's, its levels of net income generation relative to revenue come in much lower than most companies in the Magnificent Seven. The reason for the margin disparity compared to other tech leaders is that Amazon still generates most of its revenue from its e-commerce business, and online retail is a highly cost-intensive business. ExpandNASDAQ: AMZNAmazonToday's Change(-2.61%) $-5.71Current Price$213.23Key Data PointsMarket Cap$2.3TDay's Range$212.53 - $217.3152wk Range$161.38 - $258.60Volume2.8MAvg Vol48MGross Margin50.29% While the much higher margin Amazon Web Services segment accounted for just 18% of total revenue last year, it accounted for $45.6 billion of the company's total of $80 billion in operating income. The company's Amazon Web Services cloud infrastructure segment has already seen sales growth supported by rising AI demand and should continue to power earnings growth, but there could be even better news for investors. Amazon will likely be able to achieve much better margins on its e-commerce business thanks to the evolution of AI and robotics technologies. In addition to warehouse automation, the company will have opportunities to leverage autonomous driving and other delivery-related technologies to further reduce operating expenses. As the world's largest company by revenue, Amazon's massive sales base provides the potential for huge earnings growth in conjunction with cost reductions and margin improvements. While it's highly unlikely that the e-commerce business will ever record margins that come close to what AWS is delivering, betting on meaningful margin improvements for online retail operations from AI and robotics over the next five years actually looks like a fairly safe bet. The company is investing heavily right now to build out the necessary infrastructure, but the market could quickly re-rate Amazon and put it on a path to a $4 trillion market cap when significant margin improvements start to materialize.Read NextMar 8, 2026 •By Robert Izquierdo2 Tech Stocks You Can Buy and Hold for the Next DecadeMar 7, 2026 •By Trevor JennewineBillionaire Stanley Druckenmiller Sells Sandisk Stock and Buys an AI Stock Up 223,000% Since Its IPOMar 5, 2026 •By Keith NoonanThis AI Stock Could Be a Key Winner With Another Decade of GrowthMar 4, 2026 •By Daniel SparksNvidia vs. Amazon: Which AI Stock Is a Better Buy Now?Mar 4, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerPrediction: 2 Stocks That'll Be Worth More Than Microsoft 10 Years From NowMar 2, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanWhy Amazon Stock Lost 12% in FebruaryAbout the AuthorKeith Noonan is a contributing writer at The Motley Fool covering technology, consumer goods, and other sectors. He holds a bachelor’s degree in English from Boston College.TMFNoonsStocks MentionedAmazonNASDAQ: AMZN$213.23(-2.61%)-$5.71*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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