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Antero Midstream: Potential For $1.3 Billion In 2027 Adjusted EBITDA (Rating Downgrade)

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⚡ Quantum Brief
Antero Midstream exceeded 2025 financial targets, finishing at the high end of revised EBITDA and free cash flow guidance, outperforming initial projections. The 2026 EBITDA growth will be primarily driven by its recent HG Energy acquisition, with high-single-digit growth expected to continue into 2027. Projected 2027 adjusted EBITDA could reach $1.3 billion, enabling a potential quarterly dividend increase to $0.30 per share. The company’s estimated per-share value has risen to $21.20, reflecting improved financial outlook and acquisition synergies. Analyst Aaron Chow, with 15+ years of experience, authored the report, emphasizing energy sector opportunities while disclosing no financial stake in Antero Midstream.
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Elephant AnalyticsInvesting Group LeaderFollow5ShareSavePlay(8min)CommentsSummaryAntero Midstream finished 2025 around the high end of expectations.Its 2026 adjusted EBITDA growth is expected to be driven by its HG Energy acquisition, followed by high-single-digit growth in 2027.This would put its 2027 adjusted EBITDA around $1.3 billion, which should be able to support an increased quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share.Antero Midstream's estimated value has increased to $21.20 per share.Looking for more investing ideas like this one? Get them exclusively at Distressed Value Investing. Learn More » TonyIaniro/iStock via Getty Images Antero Midstream (AM) ended 2025 with adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow after dividends that were around the high end of its revised guidance (which was an improvement over its original guidance). It expects itsThis article was written byElephant Analytics11.79K FollowersFollowAaron Chow, aka Elephant Analytics has 15+ years of analytical experience and is a top rated analyst on TipRanks. Aaron previously co-founded a mobile gaming company (Absolute Games) that was acquired by PENN Entertainment. He used his analytical and modeling skills to design the in-game economic models for two mobile apps with over 30 million in combined installs. He is the author of the investing group Distressed Value Investing, which focuses on both value opportunities and distressed plays, with a significant focus on the energy sector. Learn more>>Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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