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An 800-Year-Old Math Principle May Help Find Bottom to S&P 500’s Rout

Joel Leon
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The S&P 500 has dropped for four straight weeks, marking its worst monthly performance in a year, as traders seek historical patterns to predict a potential bottom amid the prolonged decline. An 800-year-old mathematical principle—originating from Fibonacci retracement—is being used by equity traders to forecast support levels, suggesting the index may face further losses before stabilizing. Fibonacci retracement, a technical analysis tool, previously identified bottoms in major market crashes since 2020, but current signals indicate the S&P 500 could fall significantly more before hitting key support. Bulls face headwinds as the analysis points to deeper declines, with traders bracing for extended volatility unless unexpected catalysts reverse the downward momentum. The method’s historical accuracy adds weight to its predictions, though market sentiment and macroeconomic factors could still override the mathematical model’s projections.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000US Stocks:The S&P 500 Index has clocked four consecutive weeks of declines and it’s on track for the worst month in a year. To get a sense of where the pain may end, many equity traders look to a type of technical analysis credited with identifying the bottoms of big market declines, including two major routs since 2020. The bad news for bulls: It signals a long way down before the index finds major support.

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