Philip Morris: No Reason To Get Involved Today
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Passage Research4.93K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(9min)CommentsSummaryPhilip Morris (PM) exhibits strong growth in smokeless tobacco but trades near fair value after a 6% post-earnings rally. SFPs now comprise 41.4% of PM's product mix, driving high-single-digit shipment growth and international momentum. Despite a solid 3.5% yield and robust SFP performance, the risk/reward is balanced with limited upside at current valuation. I see regulatory risk, heavy reliance on pricing for combustibles, and recent earnings guidance cuts as key factors to monitor. Mumemories/iStock via Getty Images Philip Morris (PM) has been holding its ground YTD, but has meaningfully underperformed the consumer staples sector, as well as its core peers. While the company has shown great growth as of late, particularly in smokeless tobacco products, theThis article was written byPassage Research4.93K FollowersFollowPassage Research focuses on identifying variant perception through a blend of fundamental analysis and alternative data. The research process combines detailed financial modeling with real-time datasets to underwrite earnings power, margin durability, and forward expectations.The author has spent over a decade on Wall Street, most recently spending the last five years working in the hedge fund industry as an analyst. Typical coverage spans consumer, TMT, industrials and special situations, with an emphasis on asymmetric risk/reward and catalyst-driven opportunities.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.