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Hong Kong developers clear stock amid strong demand and shrinking supply

South China Morning Post Business
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Hong Kong developers released nearly 300 new flats in April 2026, with 138 of 218 units sold at One Victoria Cove Phase I and 75 of 78 units at Pavilia Farm III, reflecting surging buyer demand amid tightening supply. Private residential completions dropped 24% in 2025 to 18,448 units, with further declines projected to 16,975 in 2026 and 15,362 in 2027, per Rating and Valuation Department data, signaling a prolonged supply crunch. Analysts warn of a three-year supply contraction, predicting a 15% property price rise in 2026 due to low interest rates, stable markets, and sustained purchasing power despite shrinking inventory. Hong Kong’s 2025 residential sales hit a four-year high of 62,832 units, reversing a three-year slump, while second-hand prices climbed 3.63%, indicating robust market recovery. Developers are accelerating sales to capitalize on strong demand before supply constraints intensify, with completions set to fall 8% annually, exacerbating the city’s housing shortage.
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Hong Kong developers clear stock amid strong demand and shrinking supply

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AdvertisementHong Kong propertyBusinessHong Kong developers clear stock amid strong demand and shrinking supplyNearly 300 flats released as strong demand meets falling supply, with completions set to decline over the next two years3-MIN READ3-MIN ListenCheryl ArcibalPublished: 5:40pm, 25 Apr 2026Updated: 5:43pm, 25 Apr 2026Hong Kong developers released nearly 300 new flats to the market amid enthusiastic demand from potential homebuyers as the latest official data show completion of private residential units is set to decline this year and next.As of 3pm, 138 out of 218 units at the One Victoria Cove Phase I in Hung Hom, jointly developed by Henderson Land Development, Hysan Development and Empire Group, were sold, while at the Pavilia Farm III atop Tai Wai station in Sha Tin by New World Development (NWD) and MTR Corporation, 75 out of 78 flats had found buyers by 5pm, according to agents.The brisk sales came amid an estimated 8 per cent decline in the completion of new private residential units this year compared to the previous year, according to the latest data from the Rating and Valuation Department (RVD).Advertisement“Supply contraction is becoming the main theme for the next two years,” said Derek Chan Hoi-chou, head of research at Ricacorp Properties. “This three-year trend of declining supply, coupled with relatively low interest rates, a stable financial market, and sustained purchasing power, is expected to support a 15 per cent increase in property prices for the year.”There were 18,448 private homes completed by developers in 2025, down by 24 per cent from the previous year, according to the RVD. This will further decline to an estimated 16,975 units this year and 15,362 in 2027.AdvertisementHong Kong’s residential sales hit a four-year high in 2025 with 62,832 units changing hands, according to the Land Registry. Along with the higher sales, prices of second-hand units rose by 3.63 per cent, according to the RVD.With improved sales and rising prices, the city’s residential property market officially reversed a three-year slump.AdvertisementSelect VoiceSelect Speed0.8x0.9x1.0x1.1x1.2x1.5x1.75x00:0000:001.00x

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Source: South China Morning Post Business