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Occidental Petroleum: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

The Motley Fool
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Occidental Petroleum’s stock surged 35% in early 2026 due to Middle East conflicts driving oil prices higher, boosting near-term earnings. The company’s long-term growth strategy centers on competing with industry giants via acquisitions, including Anadarko Petroleum and carbon capture ventures, while reducing debt by selling non-core assets. High energy prices and a stronger balance sheet support expansion, but the stock’s rapid rise risks a correction if geopolitical tensions ease and commodity prices fall. Short-term investors may profit by selling now, while long-term holders should retain shares, as volatility is normal in the energy sector and current gains strengthen future acquisition potential. Analysts suggest waiting for a downturn to buy, as the stock trades at a premium amid temporary geopolitical tailwinds.
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Occidental Petroleum: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

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By Reuben Gregg Brewer – Apr 26, 2026 at 11:15AM ESTKey PointsOccidental Petroleum outbid Chevron to buy Anadarko a few years ago. Oxy stumbled shortly after the Anadarko deal because of falling oil prices.Today's high oil prices should help Oxy as it seeks to compete with the industry's largest players.Occidental Petroleum (OXY 1.23%) sells oil and natural gas, so the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East is likely to boost its earnings. As you would expect, reducing global oil and natural gas supply has increased their prices. That is good news for Oxy as it continues to chart a path toward growth. Here's a look at the buy, sell, and hold call.

Buy Occidental Petroleum Interestingly, the reason to buy Oxy isn't really about today's high energy prices. The energy sector is volatile, and oil and natural gas prices frequently rise and fall in dramatic fashion. High oil prices will clearly be a near-term benefit, boosting the company's revenues and earnings. However, the real story here is long-term business growth. Image source: Getty Images. Oxy telegraphed its growth plans when it outbid Chevron (CVX 1.27%) to buy Anadarko Petroleum a few years ago. Simply put, Oxy wants to compete with the industry's largest competitors. The company has made additional acquisitions since that point, including a business focused on carbon capture and another energy company. It also sold its chemicals business, which helped the company to pay down debt. Debt is an important factor here. A high debt load after the Anadarko deal forced Oxy to cut its dividend when oil prices fell shortly after the acquisition closed. It appears that Oxy is working from a much stronger financial position today. That fact, along with higher commodity prices, should be highly supportive of the company's long-term growth plans. If you are looking for a growth-oriented energy investment, Oxy could be a good option with one small caveat.

Sell Occidental Petroleum The problem with Oxy right now is related to high energy prices. The stock has risen more than 35% so far in 2026, and it is only late April. That's a very swift advance in a very short period of time and suggests that emotions are driving investor sentiment. The obvious reason is the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East, which has driven oil and natural gas prices higher. Commodity prices will likely begin to fall once the conflict ends. That will likely prompt investors to move away from oil and natural gas producers like Oxy. So there is a material near-term risk that Oxy's stock price could drop. Notably, the stock is already down more than 10% from its March highs. If you aren't thinking long-term with Oxy, you might want to sell now and lock in your gains. ExpandNYSE: OXYOccidental PetroleumToday's Change(-1.23%) $-0.71Current Price$57.12Key Data PointsMarket Cap$57BDay's Range$56.52 - $57.7552wk Range$38.72 - $67.45Volume7.9MAvg Vol17MGross Margin31.94%Dividend Yield1.72% Hold Occidental Petroleum The decision to hold Occidental Petroleum is roughly the same as the reason to buy it: long-term business growth. That said, if you don't already own it, a deep oil price decline would probably offer you a better buying opportunity. If you do own it, and perhaps have for years, the recent stock price advance shouldn't faze you one bit. It is just another normal swing you should be expecting in the highly volatile energy sector. However, as noted, upswings like this are good for companies like Oxy. While it may not rush out to buy another business, strong revenues and earnings could allow it to further strengthen its balance sheet. That, in turn, will give it the wherewithal to step in and buy assets when oil prices are low. In other words, the growth story isn't over yet, and today's high oil and natural gas prices only strengthen Oxy's long-term growth opportunity. Occidental is a wish-list stock Looking at the whole picture, Occidental is an attractive growth-oriented oil and natural gas company. But the stock price has moved higher quickly, mostly on investor sentiment driven by Middle East tensions. If you are a long-term investor and you own Oxy, there's no reason to sell it. If you are focused on the short-term, selling to lock in gains could be a good call. And if you are a long-term investor who doesn't own Oxy yet, you might want to keep it on your wish list, waiting to buy it during an energy downturn when the price is likely to be more attractive. Buying Oxy today wouldn't be a mistake, per se, but you would likely be paying a premium to own it.Read NextApr 23, 2026 •By Billy DubersteinThis Warren Buffett Stock Is Now a No-Brainer Buy -- Thanks to the Trump AdministrationApr 22, 2026 •By Leo SunOccidental Petroleum Stock Rocketed 38% in 2026 (But the Big Move Came in March)Apr 21, 2026 •By Daniel SparksIs It Too Late to Buy This Warren Buffett Stock That Has Soared in 2026?Apr 17, 2026 •By Billy DubersteinWhy Occidental Petroleum Plunged TodayApr 17, 2026 •By Matt Frankel, CFPBest Stocks to Buy Now: Our Buy-and-Hold Picks for April 2026Apr 17, 2026 •By Keith SpeightsOccidental Petroleum Is Crushing the Market in 2026. Is It the Smartest Buy Right Now?About the AuthorReuben Gregg Brewer is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering energy, utilities, REITs, and consumer staples. He is the former director of research at Value Line Publishing, where he rose from mutual fund analyst to equity analyst before leading all research operations. Reuben holds a bachelor’s degree in psychology from SUNY Purchase, a master’s in social work from Columbia University, and an MBA from Regis University. He has been featured as a financial expert on CNBC and in the Financial Times, Barron’s, and InvestmentNews.TMFReubenGBrewerStocks MentionedOccidental PetroleumNYSE: OXY$57.06(-1.33%)-$0.77*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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