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AI-driven Hong Kong stock inflows from mainland China slow as investor options multiply

South China Morning Post Business
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Mainland Chinese investors have slowed purchases of Hong Kong-listed stocks in 2026, with southbound inflows via Stock Connect reaching just US$30 billion year-to-date compared to 2025’s record US$180 billion. The slowdown stems from expanded AI investment options in mainland markets, reducing reliance on Hong Kong as a proxy for tech exposure, according to BNP Paribas analysts. Last year’s surge was driven by AI start-up DeepSeek’s unexpected rise, but 2026 lacks a similar catalyst, shifting focus to diversified pure-play AI listings across both exchanges. Investors now favor selective stock bets over broad index exposure, as new mainland and Hong Kong AI IPOs offer targeted alternatives to Hong Kong’s tech giants. Analysts emphasize the shift reflects evolving market dynamics—not waning confidence in China’s AI sector—with higher 2025 inflows creating a tougher comparison.
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AI-driven Hong Kong stock inflows from mainland China slow as investor options multiply

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AdvertisementHong Kong stock marketBusinessChina BusinessAI-driven Hong Kong stock inflows from mainland China slow as investor options multiplyWave of listings provides more ‘pure-play’ AI investment options across mainland and Hong Kong exchanges, BNP Paribas says2-MIN READ2-MIN ListenYulu AoPublished: 12:49pm, 23 Apr 2026Updated: 1:42pm, 23 Apr 2026Mainland Chinese investors have slowed their purchases of Hong Kong-listed shares this year after last year’s record inflows, as more artificial intelligence investment opportunities have emerged in mainland markets, according to BNP Paribas.Southbound inflows via the Stock Connect cross-border system have reached about US$30 billion so far this year, a slower pace than 2025, when they hit US$180 billion for the full year, according to the French bank. The deceleration reflected changing market dynamics rather than a retreat from Chinese assets, BNP Paribas strategists said at a media briefing on Wednesday.“Investors are still positive on China’s AI story,” said Jason Lui, head of Asia-Pacific equity and derivative strategy, adding that the difference this year was that they had “more options to express those views”.AdvertisementLast year’s rally was driven by the sudden emergence of AI start-up DeepSeek, which caught markets by surprise and led to concentrated buying of Hong Kong-listed technology giants, he said. This year had no event of similar magnitude, while a wave of new listings over the past six to nine months had provided more pure-play AI investment options across both mainland and Hong Kong markets.As a result, investors were increasingly shifting from broad index exposure to more selective bets on individual companies, reducing the need to rely on Hong Kong-listed internet stocks as proxies for the AI theme, according to the bank.AdvertisementThe slowdown in southbound inflows also reflected a higher base after last year’s surge, said Kenny Tang Sing-hing, chairman of the Hong Kong Institute of Financial Analysts and Professional Commentators.AdvertisementSelect VoiceSelect Speed0.8x0.9x1.0x1.1x1.2x1.5x1.75x00:0000:001.00x

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Source: South China Morning Post Business