My Totally "Technical" S&P 500 Index Outlook For 2026
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Retired InvestorInvesting GroupFollow5ShareSavePlay(6min)CommentsSummaryI predict the S&P 500 Index will close 2025 up 6.625%, reaching 7243.06.This forecast blends historical averages, election cycle effects, random chance, and trend-following theories.I deliberately excluded less reliable predictors like the Super Bowl winner and Elliott Wave theory.Risks to this outlook remain, and the analysis is intentionally lighthearted—investors should exercise caution. AlexSecret/iStock via Getty Images Introduction Every December, Seeking Alpha asks contributors if they would like to predict where the S&P 500 Index will close at come the end of the following year. I heard almost 30 very detailed, analytical articles have beenThis article was written byRetired Investor9.14K FollowersFollowRetired Investor has been investing since the 1980s and has a background in data analysis and pension fund management. He writes articles to help others prepare for retirement by investing in CEFs, ETFs, BDCs, and REITs. He is a long only investor and shares strategies for trading options with a focus on cash-secured-puts. He is a contributing author to the investing group iREIT®+HOYA CapitalThe group helps investors achieve dependable monthly income, portfolio diversification, and inflation hedging. It provides investment research on REITs, ETFs, closed-end funds, preferreds, and dividend champions across asset classes. It offers income-focused portfolios targeting dividend yields up to 10%.Learn more.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.