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Why IBM Stock Gained 35% in 2025

The Motley Fool
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⚡ Quantum Brief
IBM stock surged 34.7% in 2025, outperforming the S&P 500, driven by rapid AI growth and quantum computing advancements. The company’s enterprise-focused AI strategy and quantum roadmap fueled investor confidence. IBM’s AI revenue nearly doubled from $5 billion in 2024 to $9.5 billion by Q3 2025, led by consulting and its watsonx platform. The company raised its 2025 revenue growth forecast to over 5% on strong AI demand. Unlike rivals, IBM avoids costly AI model training, instead targeting enterprise productivity. CEO Arvind Krishna projects AI will unlock trillions in value, positioning IBM as a key enabler. IBM’s 2025 quantum roadmap targets fault-tolerant systems by 2029 and scaled versions by 2033. It aims to prove quantum advantage in real-world tasks by 2026, pairing quantum and classical computing. Trading at 20x free cash flow, IBM’s stock reflects AI-driven growth and quantum potential. Analysts see its dual focus as a balanced bet on near-term AI gains and long-term quantum breakthroughs.
Why IBM Stock Gained 35% in 2025

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A year of progress in AI and quantum computing.Shares of International Business Machines (IBM 0.64%) had a stellar year in 2025. The stock soared 34.7%, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, beating the S&P 500 by a wide margin. The tech giant's booming AI business, as well as progress in commercializing quantum computers, helped drive the impressive gains last year. Image source: Getty Images. A differentiated AI strategy IBM has built its AI business around constructing solutions for its enterprise customers that tackle real-world problems. The company's consulting business leads the charge, with the bulk of IBM's AI bookings coming from consulting signings. The rest comes from software, namely the company's watsonx platform. IBM's AI book of business stood at $5 billion at the end of 2024. By the end of the third quarter of 2025, that figure had nearly doubled to $9.5 billion. Despite sluggish demand for some discretionary tech projects, AI growth was strong enough to prompt IBM to boost its full-year outlook. The company now expects constant-currency revenue to grow by more than 5% in 2025, along with $14 billion in free cash flow . IBM isn't participating in the AI data center build-out bonanza, nor is it training expensive frontier AI models. Instead, it's using AI to unlock productivity for enterprise clients. IBM CEO Arvind Krishna expects AI to unleash trillions of dollars of enterprise productivity over time. IBM plans to be a key enabler. At the center of the quantum computing revolution Quantum computers aren't useful for real-world applications right now, but IBM and others are working feverishly to make useful quantum computing a reality. In 2025, IBM outlined a quantum computing roadmap that predicts the development of large-scale, fault-tolerant quantum computers within a decade.Advertisement By the end of 2026, IBM expects to demonstrate that a quantum computer, when paired with traditional computing methods, can outperform traditional computers alone for real-world computations. The company anticipates making the first fault-tolerant quantum computer available to its clients by 2029, with scaled-up versions to follow in 2033 and beyond. Quantum computing has the potential to be a revolution, exponentially accelerating certain types of computations and unlocking breakthroughs in materials science, drug discovery, artificial intelligence, and other fields. Investors were smitten with quantum computing stocks in 2025, and IBM's quantum progress was no doubt responsible for at least some of the stock's performance. ExpandNYSE: IBMInternational Business MachinesToday's Change(-0.64%) $-1.92Current Price$300.55Key Data PointsMarket Cap$283BDay's Range$299.91 - $304.3152wk Range$214.50 - $324.90Volume30KAvg Vol4.8MGross Margin57.22%Dividend Yield2.22% Is IBM stock a buy? Even after a 35% gain last year, IBM stock trades at roughly 20 times the company's free cash flow outlook for 2025. That's not a bargain, but it is a reasonable price to pay given the company's AI and quantum growth potential. While the state of the economy is a wild card, IBM's booming AI business can drive free cash flow growth in 2026, and quantum computing represents a moonshot that could pay off in a big way down the road.Read NextJan 5, 2026 •By Geoffrey Seiler2 Top Bargain Stocks Ready for Bull RunsJan 1, 2026 •By Timothy GreenWhat Is One of the Best Quantum Computing Stocks to Own for the Next 10 Years?Dec 30, 2025 •By Timothy GreenIBM Became an AI Powerhouse in 2025Dec 26, 2025 •By Geoffrey SeilerForget Rigetti Computing: This Quantum Stock Offers a Far Better Risk‑Reward Right NowDec 14, 2025 •By Robert IzquierdoCould the Cognitus Acquisition Be IBM's Most Significant AI Move in Years?Dec 12, 2025 •By Jason HallIBM Makes a Big Acquisition (and Buys My Favorite SaaS Stock): What Investors Need to KnowAbout the AuthorTim Green is a contributing Motley Fool technology and consumer goods analyst covering companies in AI, cloud computing, retail, and other market sectors.

Before The Motley Fool, Tim was in a doctoral program for computational physics. He holds a bachelor’s degree in physics from Rochester Institute of Technology.TMFBargainBinStocks MentionedInternational Business MachinesNYSE: IBM$300.55 (0.01%) $1.92*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.Advertisement

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