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Wheat Rallies on Weather Woes and Iran-Linked Fertilizer Crunch

Financial Post
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Wheat futures surged nearly 5% this week, marking the largest gain since February, as hard red winter wheat hit its highest price since June 2024 on the Chicago Board of Trade. Droughts in the US Great Plains, Black Sea region, and Europe, combined with dry conditions in Australia, threaten global wheat production, according to Vaisala XWeather forecasts. Fertilizer shortages tied to the Iran conflict—now in its seventh week—are exacerbating supply constraints, particularly in Australia, where planting acreage may drop to a seven-year low. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, prolonging energy and fertilizer crises despite US-Iran ceasefire talks, further pressuring crop production and input costs worldwide. Analysts warn potential crop failures in Australia and Argentina could drive prices higher, though ample global supplies may limit gains for now.
Wheat Rallies on Weather Woes and Iran-Linked Fertilizer Crunch

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qt7q107xyv(q2)l12eo1l5b]_media_dl_1.png CBOTArticle content(Bloomberg) — Wheat was set for its biggest weekly gain in almost two months, as persistent weather concerns and tighter fertilizer supplies linked to the Iran war stoked worries over the crop’s supply outlook.Sign In or Create an AccountEmail AddressContinueor View more offersArticle contentThe most active wheat contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade were on track to climb nearly 5% on the week, their biggest such jump since February. The hard red winter variety extended gains to hit its highest level since June 2024. Article contentWe apologize, but this video has failed to load.Try refreshing your browser, ortap here to see other videos from our team.Article contentArticle contentDrought conditions were expected to linger in key areas of the US Great Plains, while in Australia, a shortage of farm inputs and persistent dryness weighed on wheat acreage in the major producer and exporter. Article contentTop StoriesGet the latest headlines, breaking news and columns.There was an error, please provide a valid email address.Sign UpBy signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.Thanks for signing up!A welcome email is on its way. If you don't see it, please check your junk folder.The next issue of Top Stories will soon be in your inbox.We encountered an issue signing you up. Please try againInterested in more newsletters? Browse here.Article contentDry weather also continued in parts of the Black Sea growing region and some areas of Europe, impacting wheat supply outlook in some of the world’s top producing regions, according to the latest forecasts from Vaisala XWeather. Article content“Much of the gain has been driven by sustained dry conditions in western HRW wheat regions,” said Tobin Gorey, a strategist at Cornucopia Agri Analytics, referring to the hard red winter grain. Fertilizer supply worries, especially for southern winter crops like in Australia, and an impending El Nino have also helped boost prices, he added. Article contentThe bullish run could have limits given ample global supplies, Gorey said. Still, any potential crop issues in Australia and Argentina could provide a catalyst for more price gains later, he added.Article contentPlanting acreage for the 2026/27 wheat crop in Australia is expected to fall to a seven-year low, according to a Bloomberg survey, as weak prices and fertilizer and fuel shortages weigh on harvest prospects.Article contentUS President Donald Trump said America and Iran could clinch a permanent ceasefire, striking a positive tone for a possible end to the conflict now nearing the end of its seventh week. However, the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed, prolonging an energy and fertilizer crisis and threatening production of key crops worldwide. Article contentPalm oil futures traded on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives were down, as weak demand from India and a closed Middle East market continues to weigh on prices.Article contentArticle contentTrending Canadian quantum company Xanadu soars to $16 billion valuation after Nvidia release Innovation Posthaste: What Mark Carney's gas tax cut could mean for the Bank of Canada News A rise in mortgage rates may ‘pull the rug' out from under the spring housing market, says CREA Mortgages Canada presses for wider trade agreement in talks with U.S.

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Source: Financial Post