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Should Investors Avoid Rigetti Computing as It Struggles to Generate Revenue?

The Motley Fool
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Rigetti Computing missed Q4 revenue expectations, reporting $1.9 million—a 17% drop—falling short of the $2.3 million forecast, while operating losses widened to $22.6 million. The company delayed its Cepheus-1-108Q quantum computer due to technical issues, now targeting 99.5% two-qubit gate fidelity, lagging behind competitors like IonQ’s 99.99% benchmark. Gross margins shrank from 44% to 35%, and operating expenses rose 19% to $23.2 million, deepening financial strain despite a $5.8 billion market cap on minimal revenue. Upcoming orders, including a $5.7 million Novera sale and an $8.4 million Indian contract, may boost 2026 revenue, but growth remains uncertain amid persistent technical hurdles. Analysts warn Rigetti’s sky-high valuation—over 250x projected 2026 revenue—is unjustified, making it a high-risk stock to avoid despite recent volatility.
Should Investors Avoid Rigetti Computing as It Struggles to Generate Revenue?

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By Geoffrey Seiler – Mar 10, 2026 at 6:48AM ESTKey PointsRIgetti saw its revenue slip in Q4, while it has also dealt with technical issues.The company trades at an outrageous valuation despite trailing in the quantum race. Shares of Rigetti Computing (RGTI +3.56%) fell last week after the company failed to meet modest revenue expectations in its most recent quarter. Rigetti is one of a handful of quantum computing stocks that have caught the attention of investors. While the stock's post-earnings decline sent its shares down more than 25% year to date, its shares are still up 78% over the past year, as of this writing. With the company struggling to generate any meaningful revenue, the question is whether investors should buy the dip or avoid the stock. Image source: Motley Fool. Technological struggles One of the biggest technological issues facing quantum computing is that the technology is error-prone. Because quantum computing uses qubits, which aren't in fixed positions like the bits found in classical computing, it is much more sensitive to outside sources, which can cause errors. While quantum computing companies have been making strides in reducing error rates, one company that has struggled in this area is Rigetti. In January, the company had to delay the shipments of its Cepheus-1-108Q quantum computer due to technical issues. It now expects to deploy the system with 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity later this month. It also announced that it has reached 99.9% two-qubit fidelity; however, that trails its competitors, with IonQ, for example, achieving 99.99% two-qubit fidelity. While that may not sound like a big difference, it is actually quite substantial in the world of computing. With its struggles, Rigetti saw its revenue fall 17% to just $1.9 million. That fell short of the $2.3 million analyst consensus. Meanwhile, its gross margins fell from 44% to 35%, and its operating expenses climbed 19% to $23.2 million. This led to an operating loss of $22.6 million. Its adjusted net loss came in at $11.3 million, or $0.03 a share, helped by higher interest income. Looking ahead, the company should see stronger revenue in 2026, fueled by recent orders. It sold two of its Novera systems for $5.7 million late last year and should recognize nearly half of that sale in the first quarter, with the rest coming throughout the year. It also has an $8.4 million order for its 108-qubit system from India's Centre for Development of Advanced Computing that should be deployed in the second half. ExpandNASDAQ: RGTIRigetti ComputingToday's Change(3.56%) $0.60Current Price$17.61Key Data PointsMarket Cap$5.8BDay's Range$16.12 - $17.6952wk Range$6.86 - $58.15Volume30KAvg Vol32MGross Margin-8613.15% Should investors buy the dip? While Rigetti's revenue will rise from a small base in 2026, the company is clearly behind a number of competitors when it comes to the accuracy of its systems. Meanwhile, the company commands a market capitalization exceeding $5 billion despite a projected 2026 revenue of only around $20 million. That's an insane valuation for a company that is trailing in the quantum computing race. As such, I think this is a stock to avoid.Read NextMar 5, 2026 •By Manali Pradhan, CFADown 70%, Should You Buy the Dip on Rigetti Computing?Mar 2, 2026 •By Johnny RiceBetter Quantum Computing Stock: Rigetti Computing vs. D-Wave QuantumMar 1, 2026 •By Keith NoonanWhy Rigetti Computing Stock Surged This WeekFeb 27, 2026 •By Johnny RiceWhy Rigetti Computing Stock Slumped on FridayFeb 27, 2026 •By Johnny RiceWhere Will Rigetti Computing Be in 5 Years?Feb 25, 2026 •By Rich SmithForget Rigetti Computing: This Dividend‑Paying Powerhouse Has a Much Stronger UpsideAbout the AuthorGeoffrey Seiler is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering technology, consumer goods, healthcare, energy, and materials stocks. Prior to The Motley Fool, Geoffrey was a senior equity analyst at Raging Capital Management, a $600 million long-short hedge fund. He holds a bachelor’s degree in history from Haverford College.TMFFindProfitStocks MentionedRigetti ComputingNASDAQ: RGTI$17.62(+3.56%)+$0.61*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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