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Nvidia's AI-Powered Earnings Beat and Revenue Guidance Crushed Wall Street's Estimates

The Motley Fool
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Nvidia reported record Q4 2026 earnings, with revenue surging 73% year-over-year to $68.13 billion and adjusted EPS climbing 82%, both exceeding Wall Street’s forecasts by wide margins. First-quarter revenue guidance of $78 billion—77% year-over-year growth—crushed analyst expectations of $72 billion, signaling unrelenting demand for AI infrastructure and GPU-accelerated computing. Data center revenue, Nvidia’s core segment, jumped 75% year-over-year to $62.31 billion, driven by hyperscalers and AI adoption, while Blackwell GPU demand fueled 159% growth in professional visualization. Despite gaming revenue dipping 13% quarter-over-quarter due to post-holiday inventory adjustments, Nvidia cited supply constraints as a near-term headwind, not weakening demand. The stock remained flat in after-hours trading, reflecting sky-high investor expectations, though analysts highlight Nvidia’s long-term dominance ahead of its March GTC AI conference.
Nvidia's AI-Powered Earnings Beat and Revenue Guidance Crushed Wall Street's Estimates

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By Beth McKenna – Feb 25, 2026 at 8:48PM ESTKey PointsFourth-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) soared 73% and 82%, respectively, year over year, easily surpassing Wall Street's expectations.Q1 revenue guidance of $78 billion crushed the analyst consensus estimate of $72 billion.NASDAQ: NVDANvidiaMarket Cap$4.8TToday's Changeangle-down(1.44%) $2.77Current Price$195.62Price as of February 25, 2026 at 3:58 PM ETThe artificial intelligence (AI) tech leader's Q4 results and guidance indicate that demand for AI infrastructure remains very robust.Shares of Nvidia (NVDA +1.44%) are hovering between being down less than 1% and up less than 1% in Wednesday's after-hours trading as 8 p.m. ET approaches, following the artificial intelligence (AI) tech leader's release of its report for its fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 (ended Jan. 25). The quarter's revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) easily beat Wall Street's estimates, and Q1 guidance for the top line crushed the analyst consensus estimate. Investors always have extremely high expectations for Nvidia, so even if it turns in a fantastic quarter, its stock may not rise much, or even at all. Image source: Getty Images. Nvidia's key quarterly numbers MetricFiscal Q4 2025Fiscal Q4 2026Year-Over-Year ChangeRevenue$39.33 billion$68.13 billion73%GAAP operating income$24.03 billion$44.30 billion84%GAAP net income$22.09 billion$42.96 billion94%Adjusted net income$22.07 billion$39.55 billion79%GAAP earnings per share (EPS)$0.89$1.7698%Adjusted EPS$0.89$1.6282% Data sources: Nvidia and Y! Finance. Q4 fiscal 2026 ended on Jan. 25. GAAP = generally accepted accounting principles. EPS = earnings per share. GAAP numbers include one-time items. Investors should focus on the adjusted numbers, which exclude one-time items. Wall Street was looking for adjusted EPS of $1.54 on revenue of $66.23 billion, so Nvidia exceeded both expectations. It also sprinted by its own guidance, which was for adjusted EPS of $1.50 on revenue of $65 billion. For the quarter, GAAP and adjusted gross margins were 75% and 75.2%, respectively. ExpandNASDAQ: NVDANvidiaToday's Change(1.44%) $2.77Current Price$195.62Key Data PointsMarket Cap$4.8TDay's Range$193.80 - $197.6252wk Range$86.62 - $212.19Volume6.7MAvg Vol169MGross Margin70.05%Dividend Yield0.02% Platform performance PlatformFiscal Q4 2026 RevenueYear-Over-Year ChangeQuarter-Over-Quarter ChangeData center$62.31 billion75%22%Gaming$3.73 billion47%(13%)Professional visualization$1.32 billion159%74%Automotive$604 million6%2%OEM and other$161 million28%(7%)Total$68.13 billion73%20% Data source: Nvidia. 'OEM and other' is not a market platform. The data center platform's performance was driven by two massive, ongoing (and somewhat overlapping) computing shifts -- toward graphics processing unit (GPU)-accelerated computing and toward GPU-enabled artificial intelligence (AI)-powered computing, Colette Kress said in her CFO commentary. Nvidia dominates the market for GPUs, which are a type of semiconductor. Kress shared positive news about customers. She said that while hyperscaler (operators of massive data centers) revenue increased, and this group remained Nvidia's largest customer category at slightly over 50% of data center revenue, "growth was led by the rest of our data center customers as revenue diversified." Investors should not be concerned about the 13% decline in gaming revenue from the prior quarter. This was due to sales channel inventory moderating following a strong holiday period. Kress said that the company expects "supply constraints to be a headwind to gaming in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and beyond." Professional visualization posted powerful growth, which Kress said was "driven by exceptional demand for Blackwell [products]." Blackwell is the company's new GPU architecture platform. The auto platform's steady growth is being driven (pardon the pun) by continued adoption of Nvidia's platform for developing self-driving vehicles. Guidance for the first quarter For Q1 of fiscal 2027 (ends in late April), management expects revenue of $78 billion, representing a year-over-year growth rate of 77%. This outlook does not assume any data center compute revenue from China. Unlike its usual practice, Nvidia did not provide the expected tax rate for the first quarter, but just for the full year. This means it's not possible to calculate its Q1 adjusted EPS outlook based on the inputs provided. However, to provide investors with a ballpark figure, I'm going to assume the tax rate for Q1 will be the same as Nvidia expects for the entire year. Using this assumption, Nvidia's Q1 adjusted EPS guidance is $1.71, representing 111% growth. Going into the report, Wall Street had been modeling Q1 adjusted EPS of $1.68 on revenue of $72.03 billion, so the company's revenue outlook crushed expectations, while what I estimated to be its adjusted EPS outlook came in slightly ahead of expectations. Another fantastic report In short, Nvidia delivered yet another report with fantastic quarterly results and guidance. Don't conflate the stock's initial reaction with the report's strength. Nvidia's stock remains a long-term winner with a catalyst on the horizon: Its annual GTC (GPU Technology Conference) in March, the world's largest AI conference. Read NextFeb 25, 2026 •By Marc Guberti3 Millionaire-Maker Stocks to Hold for the Next 10 YearsFeb 25, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerThe Artificial Intelligence (AI) Inference Market Could Reach $255 Billion by 2030.

These Stocks Are Best Positioned to Win.Feb 25, 2026 •By Scott LevineWhy Nvidia Stock Is Soaring in After-Hours TradingFeb 25, 2026 •By Danny Vena, CPACEO Jensen Huang Just Handed Down Incredible News for Nvidia Stock InvestorsFeb 25, 2026 •By Adam SpataccoPalantir Billionaire Peter Thiel Dumped Nvidia, Tesla, Microsoft, and Apple.

What Stocks Does He Own for 2026?Feb 25, 2026 •By Chris NeigerShould You Forget IonQ and Buy These 2 Tech Stocks Instead?About the AuthorBeth McKenna is a contributing writer for The Motley Fool covering stocks and ETFs across various sectors, with a focus on artificial intelligence and emerging technologies. Beth previously worked in risk management for major property and casualty insurers. She holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Engineering from Lafayette College and completed graduate-level coursework in business at Rutgers University.TMFMcKennaStocks MentionedNvidiaNASDAQ: NVDA$195.62 (+1.44%) $+2.77*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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