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Here's Why I Wouldn't Touch Rigetti Computing With a 10-Foot Pole

The Motley Fool
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Rigetti Computing’s stock surged 45% in 2025 and 10% in early 2026, but analysts warn its $7.7B valuation is unjustified due to persistent technical shortcomings in quantum accuracy. The company’s quantum systems excel in speed—over 1,000x faster than IonQ’s—but lag critically in accuracy, with two-qubit gate fidelity at 99.5%, below the 99.9% threshold needed for viable error correction. Rigetti failed to advance in DARPA’s Quantum Benchmarking Initiative, a key Pentagon-backed program, signaling its technology may not meet government standards for quantum computing development. Its upcoming 108-qubit Cepheus-1-108Q system faces delays as the company struggles to improve error rates, further eroding confidence in its roadmap. Despite recent analyst upgrades and an $8.4M order from India, Rigetti’s fundamental challenges in accuracy and execution make it a high-risk investment in the competitive quantum race.
Here's Why I Wouldn't Touch Rigetti Computing With a 10-Foot Pole

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By Geoffrey Seiler – Jan 24, 2026 at 7:31PM ESTKey PointsRigetti has been a hot stock.However, the company's technology lags in accuracy.Missing out on a government program and the delay of its new quantum system further speak to the company's accuracy issues. These 10 Stocks Could Mint the Next Wave of Millionaires ›NASDAQ: RGTIRigetti ComputingMarket Cap$7.7BToday's Changeangle-down(-5.95%) $1.49Current Price$23.48Price as of January 23, 2026 at 3:58 PM ETRigetti is a stock to be careful with.Rigetti Computing (RGTI 5.95%) was one of the hottest quantum computing stocks in 2025, with its shares climbing more than 45%, and they are already up more than 10% in 2026, as of this writing. However, I wouldn't touch the stock with a 10-foot pole. ExpandNASDAQ: RGTIRigetti ComputingToday's Change(-5.95%) $-1.49Current Price$23.48Key Data PointsMarket Cap$7.7BDay's Range$23.26 - $25.2052wk Range$6.86 - $58.15Volume997KAvg Vol43MGross Margin-6849.48% Can speed top accuracy? In the world of quantum computing, Rigetti is perhaps best known for the speed of its quantum computing systems, which have been estimated to be more than 1,000 times faster than those from competitor IonQ (IONQ 4.22%). However, where the company trails is in accuracy. One of the biggest problems facing quantum computing today is that the systems are very error-prone. Because quantum computers use quantum bits, or qubits, instead of traditional computing bits, the systems are much less stable. Traditional computing bits are in a fixed state of being a 0 or a 1, but qubits are in what is called a state of superposition, which means they have the potential to be either until acted upon. This is analogous to a spinning coin that can be either heads or tails. However, this state also leaves qubits vulnerable to failure due to outside forces like vibrations and temperature changes. Rigetti has struggled on the accuracy front, having achieved two-qubit gate fidelity (a measure of accuracy) of just 99.5%, compared to 99.99% for IonQ. While that sounds like it isn't far behind, it is below the 99.9% that is generally recommended by data scientists to even begin other forms of error correction through software. Meanwhile, the company was not one of the 11 selected to advance to Stage B of the Quantum Benchmarking Initiative (QBI) of the U.S.

Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA). This program, funded by the Pentagon, is a way for the government to help identify the best quantum computing technologies, so not making the cut after Stage A is a big blow and speaks to the level of Rigetti's technology. In addition, the company recently had to delay its new 108-qubit Cepheus-1-108Q system to improve its error rate. Image source: The Motley Fool. Now, the stock does have its fans, and it has recently gotten a few positive mentions from sell-side analysts. Rossenblatt Securities started the stock with a "buy" rating, saying it likes its "modular approach to qubit scaling," while B. Riley upgraded the stock to "buy" after the company received an $8.4 million order from India's Centre for Development of Advanced Computing. Wedbush also upped its price target after this order. That said, Rigetti looks to be far behind in the quantum computing race, and a handful of small orders isn't going to change that. This is a stock to avoid.Read NextJan 23, 2026 •By Johnny RicePrediction: Quantum Computing, IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave Will Crash In 2026. Here's What You Should Buy InsteadJan 20, 2026 •By Keith NoonanWhy Rigetti Computing Stock Soared 45.2% Last Year and Has Kept Gaining in 2026Jan 19, 2026 •By Keith NoonanRigetti Computing: Quantum Leader or Overhyped Stock?Jan 19, 2026 •By Rick OrfordCan Rigetti Become the Backbone of Quantum Computing?Jan 19, 2026 •By Keithen DruryIs This $8 Billion Quantum Computing Stock Too Cheap to Ignore Now?Jan 17, 2026 •By Rick OrfordIs Wall Street Underestimating Rigetti's Long-Term Potential?About the AuthorGeoffrey Seiler is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering technology, consumer goods, healthcare, energy, and materials stocks. Prior to The Motley Fool, Geoffrey was a senior equity analyst at Raging Capital Management, a $600 million long-short hedge fund. He holds a bachelor’s degree in history from Haverford College.TMFFindProfitStocks MentionedRigetti ComputingNASDAQ: RGTI$23.48 (0.06%) $1.49*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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