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Is D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Pricing Reflect Recent Quantum Computing Headlines And Sharp Share Swings - simplywall.st

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⚡ Quantum Brief
D-Wave Quantum’s stock shows extreme volatility, with a 242.7% annual gain but a 33.2% year-to-date drop, reflecting investor reactions to quantum computing milestones and funding news. A DCF analysis suggests the stock is undervalued by 85.8%, projecting $1.02B in free cash flow by 2030 despite current losses of $76.26M. The P/B ratio of 8.15x far exceeds the software industry average of 2.68x, though its "Fair Ratio" remains unclear due to high growth expectations. Only 2 of 6 valuation checks pass, signaling caution despite bullish long-term projections and recent partnerships driving investor interest. Investor narratives vary wildly, with fair value estimates ranging from $22.54 to $48.00, highlighting deep uncertainty in quantum computing’s commercial timeline.
Is D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Pricing Reflect Recent Quantum Computing Headlines And Sharp Share Swings - simplywall.st

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If you are trying to figure out whether D-Wave Quantum's share price makes sense right now, you are not alone. This article looks closely at what the current market value might be telling you about the business. The stock has been volatile, with a 4% move over the last week, a 24.8% decline over 30 days, a 33.2% decline year to date, and a 242.7% return over the past year, alongside a very large return over three years and an 85.8% return over five years. Recent headlines have focused on D-Wave Quantum's role in the quantum computing space and how investors are reacting to that story. This helps explain the sharp swings in sentiment you see in the recent returns. News flow around funding, partnerships, and technology milestones has kept the stock in focus for investors looking at both opportunity and risk. On our checklist based view, D-Wave Quantum earns a valuation score of 2 out of 6. This reflects that it screens as undervalued on 2 of 6 checks. Next we will walk through the key valuation methods behind that score and point you to a more complete way of thinking about value at the end of the article. D-Wave Quantum scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: D-Wave Quantum Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model takes estimates of a company’s future cash flows and discounts them back to today’s dollars, aiming to estimate what the whole business might be worth right now. For D-Wave Quantum, the latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is a loss of $76.26 million. Analyst and model projections used here are based on a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, with cash flows estimated out to 2035. Within those projections, Free Cash Flow is expected to remain negative in 2026 and 2027, then move to positive territory, reaching $1,016.27 million in 2030. For the later years, projections are extrapolated by Simply Wall St rather than based on direct analyst estimates. Discounting all those projected cash flows back to today results in an estimated intrinsic value of $132.06 per share. Compared with the current share price, this implies an 85.8% discount. On this DCF view, the stock screens as materially undervalued. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests D-Wave Quantum is undervalued by 85.8%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 46 more high quality undervalued stocks. QBTS Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for D-Wave Quantum. Approach 2: D-Wave Quantum Price vs Book For companies that are still building toward consistent profitability, the price to book, or P/B, ratio is often more useful than earnings based measures because it compares the share price with the net assets backing the business rather than profits that can be small or negative. In general, higher growth expectations and lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/B multiple, while slower growth and higher risk tend to line up with a lower, more conservative range. There is no single “right” number, so looking at context matters. D-Wave Quantum trades on a P/B of 8.15x, compared with the Software industry average of 2.68x and a peer average of 3.75x.

Simply Wall St also uses a proprietary “Fair Ratio” for P/B, which estimates the multiple you might expect given factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, market cap, industry and specific risks. This can be more tailored than a simple peer or industry comparison because it adjusts for the company’s own profile rather than assuming all software names should trade on the same number. Because the Fair Ratio figure is not available here, we cannot say whether the current 8.15x P/B suggests D-Wave Quantum is overvalued, undervalued or about right on this metric. Result: ABOUT RIGHT NYSE:QBTS P/B Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/B ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 19 top founder-led companies.

Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your D-Wave Quantum Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to think about valuation. Let us introduce Narratives, a simple framework on Simply Wall St's Community page where you connect your view of D-Wave Quantum's story to a set of numbers such as expected revenue, earnings and margins. These then flow through to a Fair Value you can compare to the current price to help you decide whether the stock looks attractive or stretched.

That Fair Value updates as new information like news or earnings comes in. For example, one investor might build a cautious D-Wave Quantum Narrative that lines up with a Fair Value of about US$22.54, while another might see a much stronger opportunity and anchor their Narrative around US$48.00. Both perspectives are visible side by side so you can see how different assumptions about the same company lead to very different conclusions. Do you think there's more to the story for D-Wave Quantum? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:QBTS 1-Year Stock Price Chart This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.comAbout NYSE:QBTSD-Wave QuantumDevelops and delivers quantum computing systems, software, and services worldwide.See The Free Research ReportExcellent balance sheet with slight risk.See The Free Research ReportSimilar CompaniesNasdaqGS:GOOGLAlphabetNasdaqGS:MSFTMicrosoftMarket InsightsThree contrarian investing ideas for a new market Stella Ong Alternatives part 2: 2026 and beyond 🔭Richard BowmanDotcom Bubble vs. Now 🫧Stella OngAdvertisementWeekly PicksSTstuart_roberts on Upside Gold · 5 days agoAn Undervalued 3.3Moz Gold Project in CanadaFair Value:CA$5.0775.7% undervalued37 followersusers have followed this narrative·0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·6 likesusers have liked this narrativeJAJades on Coca-Cola · 5 days agoCoca-Cola’s Enduring Moat in a Health-Conscious World: Steady Compounder Poised for 5-10% Annual Returns Through Emerging Market DominanceFair Value:US$66.223.2% overvalued16 followersusers have followed this narrative·0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·8 likesusers have liked this narrativeETEthan_cpa on Xero · 6 days agoXero: Growth Was Priced In — Execution Is NotFair Value:AU$101.5618.1% undervalued6 followersusers have followed this narrative·1 commentusers have commented on this narrative·4 likesusers have liked this narrativeKAkabz2342 on Nu Holdings · 7 days agoNu holdings will continue to disrupt the South American banking marketFair Value:US$64.376.7% undervalued42 followersusers have followed this narrative·3 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·25 likesusers have liked this narrativeRecently Updated NarrativesPBpbco on Intuitive Surgical · about 8 hours agoISRG Riding the LightningFair Value:US$630.4820.1% undervalued1 followerusers have followed this narrative·0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·0 likesusers have liked this narrativeVEVestra on Duolingo · about 8 hours agoDuolingo (DUOL): The AI Learning Architect – Trading Profits for a 100M User VisionFair Value:US$142.7929.3% undervalued1 followerusers have followed this narrative·0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·0 likesusers have liked this narrativeVEVestra on Dycom Industries · about 8 hours agoDycom Industries (DY): The Broadband Backbone – Scaling the Nation’s Fiber and AI ExpansionFair Value:US$481.112.7% undervalued1 followerusers have followed this narrative·0 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·0 likesusers have liked this narrativePopular NarrativesDAdavidlsander on Ubisoft Entertainment · 4 days agoIs Ubisoft the Market’s Biggest Pricing Error?

Why Forensic Value Points to €33 Per ShareFair Value:€33.887.7% undervalued65 followersusers have followed this narrative·5 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·28 likesusers have liked this narrativeANAnalystConsensusTarget on Microsoft · 10 days agoAnalyst Commentary Highlights Microsoft AI Momentum and Upward Valuation Amid Growth and Competitive RisksFair Value:US$59634.1% undervalued1298 followersusers have followed this narrative·2 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·10 likesusers have liked this narrativeANAnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA · 2 months agoNVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026Fair Value:US$253.0230.0% undervalued1097 followersusers have followed this narrative·6 commentsusers have commented on this narrative·33 likesusers have liked this narrativeTrending DiscussionUSUser on 1911 Gold · 7 days agoI like the slow ramp up, self funding model. I bought a very small amount and will wait to see what the drill finds.1|0COcomposite32 on TotalEnergies · 9 minutes agoThat is a great question that requires second-order thinking. While the immediate reaction of the market would likely be a drop in Brent/TTF prices due to the evaporation of the geopolitical risk premium and the anticipated return of Iranian barrels, the long-term structural impact on TotalEnergies (TTE) would be massively bullish. 1. The 'South Pars' Catalyst: People forget that TTE was the lead developer of Iran's South Pars Phase 11 (the world's largest natural gas field). They were forced to abandon their multi-billion dollar stake in 2018 solely due to US sanctions. If the regime falls and sanctions are lifted, TTE is perfectly positioned to re-enter and secure massive, low-cost reserves, driving incredible long-term Free Cash Flow (FCF). 2. The Asset-Heavy Moat: TTE is not just a spot-market oil seller; it is an integrated LNG behemoth. Their recent 20-year LNG export agreements (like the one in Alaska) are based on long-term 'Take-or-Pay' contracts. These contracts guarantee cash flow regardless of short-term spot price volatility. 3.

Macro Demand Acceleration: Lower energy prices resulting from regime change would cool global inflation, thereby accelerating global infrastructure and 'Physical AI' (data center) build-outs. This creates an even larger baseline demand for TTE's global LNG and electricity generation portfolio. In short: A regime change would cause a short-term knee-jerk dip in the stock price—which would represent a generational buying opportunity—followed by massive structural growth as TTE reclaims its lost assets in the region.0|0USUser on TotalEnergies · about 10 hours agoQuelles sont les conséquences sur les cours dé Totalenergie si le régime iranien tombe ?0|0

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Source: Google News – Quantum Computing