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Classical and Quantum Machine Learning for Population-Level Prediction of Heat-Related Physiological Events

arXiv Quantum Physics
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Researchers compared classical and quantum machine learning for predicting heat-related health risks across populations, using U.S. and Catalonia datasets from 2026. The study marks one of the first empirical tests of quantum models in public health forecasting. Classical models outperformed quantum approaches in accuracy, particularly with sparse or imbalanced data, but quantum circuits showed promising pattern recognition despite hardware limitations. The gap highlights current quantum computing’s developmental stage. The team built a unified framework merging climate, demographic, and health data into county-level weekly predictions. This pipeline standardizes inputs for both classical and quantum algorithms, enabling direct performance comparisons. Quantum models used parameterized circuits with angle embedding and data re-uploading—a novel technique for encoding complex health-climate interactions. While less accurate, they identified meaningful correlations in certain scenarios. The work establishes a foundation for hybrid health modeling as quantum hardware advances, suggesting future systems could combine classical precision with quantum’s potential for capturing nonlinear relationships in sparse datasets.
Classical and Quantum Machine Learning for Population-Level Prediction of Heat-Related Physiological Events

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Quantum Physics arXiv:2604.15382 (quant-ph) [Submitted on 16 Apr 2026] Title:Classical and Quantum Machine Learning for Population-Level Prediction of Heat-Related Physiological Events Authors:Saul Gonzalez-Bermejo, Tommaso Albrigi, Borja Vazquez-Morado, Urko Regueiro-Ramos, Daniel Casado-Faulı, Sergi Consul-Pacareu, Parfait Atchade-Adelomou View a PDF of the paper titled Classical and Quantum Machine Learning for Population-Level Prediction of Heat-Related Physiological Events, by Saul Gonzalez-Bermejo and 5 other authors View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:Predicting heat-related physiological events at the population level is challenging due to the complex interactions among climatic, demographic, and socioeconomic factors, as well as the strong sparsity and seasonality of observational data. In this work, we propose a unified predictive framework that integrates heterogeneous environmental and public-health datasets and evaluates two learning paradigms within a common pipeline: classical machine learning and quantum machine learning. The methodology combines data harmonization, temporal aggregation, feature engineering, and dimensionality reduction to construct a weekly county-level population dataset. On this unified representation, we train both a classical regression baseline and a variational quantum model based on parameterized quantum circuits with angle embedding and data re-uploading. Experimental evaluation on datasets from the United States and Catalonia shows that classical models currently achieve higher predictive accuracy, particularly under conditions of strong class imbalance and sparse targets. Nevertheless, the quantum models demonstrate non-trivial learning capability and capture meaningful predictive structure in several scenarios. These results provide an empirical comparison between classical and quantum learning approaches for population-level physiological prediction and establish a methodological foundation for future hybrid health modeling as quantum hardware continues to evolve. Comments: Subjects: Quantum Physics (quant-ph) Cite as: arXiv:2604.15382 [quant-ph] (or arXiv:2604.15382v1 [quant-ph] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.15382 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) Submission history From: Parfait Atchade [view email] [v1] Thu, 16 Apr 2026 01:32:05 UTC (174 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: View a PDF of the paper titled Classical and Quantum Machine Learning for Population-Level Prediction of Heat-Related Physiological Events, by Saul Gonzalez-Bermejo and 5 other authorsView PDFHTML (experimental)TeX Source view license Current browse context: quant-ph new | recent | 2026-04 References & Citations INSPIRE HEP NASA ADSGoogle Scholar Semantic Scholar export BibTeX citation Loading... BibTeX formatted citation × loading... Data provided by: Bookmark Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers Toggle Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps Toggle Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite.ai Toggle scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data, Media Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article alphaXiv Toggle alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?) Links to Code Toggle CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?) DagsHub Toggle DagsHub (What is DagsHub?) GotitPub Toggle Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?) Huggingface Toggle Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?) ScienceCast Toggle ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?) Demos Demos Replicate Toggle Replicate (What is Replicate?) Spaces Toggle Hugging Face Spaces (What is Spaces?) Spaces Toggle TXYZ.AI (What is TXYZ.AI?) Related Papers Recommenders and Search Tools Link to Influence Flower Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?) Core recommender toggle CORE Recommender (What is CORE?) Author Venue Institution Topic About arXivLabs arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website. Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them. Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs. Which authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)

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Source: arXiv Quantum Physics