Bank of America resets Nvidia price target after earnings

Nvidia (NVDA) reported its Q4 earnings on Feb. 25 after the bell. Despite the earnings smasher, the stock is trading 5.6% lower at the time of writing, Thursday, Feb. 26, according to Yahoo Finance.The stock's crash after earnings, no matter how strong the report, has seemingly become the norm for Nvidia. So how can stock slide after reporting record quarterly revenue of $68.1 billion, up 20% sequentially, and up 73% year over year?Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang explained this phenomenon at the all-hands meeting after the Q3 earnings. “If we delivered a bad quarter, it is evidence there’s an AI bubble. If we delivered a great quarter, we are fueling the AI bubble,” he said, as reported by Business Insider.It is important to note that Huang doesn’t believe AI is a bubble.Nvidia also delivered very strong guidance for Q1 2027:Revenue of $78.0 billion, plus or minus 2%.GAAP gross margin of 74.9%, plus or minus 50 basis pointsGAAP operating expenses of approximately $7.7 billion Source: Nvidia The company stated that it is not assuming any Data Center compute revenue from China in its outlook. “While small amounts of H200 products for China-based customers were approved by the U.S. government, we have yet to generate any revenue, and we do not know whether any imports will be allowed into China,” said CFO Colette Kress during the earnings call.The statement about no China Data Center sales and what the CFO said might seem like a possible reason for disappointment, but only if you have very unrealistic expectations.I wrote an in-depth analysis of why it will be extremely difficult for Nvidia to get back on track for making revenue from China Data Centers in my article “What the White House decision really means for Nvidia.” So we are left with the conclusion that AI bubble fears are hurting the stock. I explained how the AI bubble works through OpenAI in my article “AMZN, MSFT, NVDA, SFTBY setting $100 billion on fire.” Bank of America raised its Nvidia non-GAAP EPS estimate for 2027 to $8.11.Shutterstock Bank of America raises Nvidia stock price targetFollowing the report’s release, Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya and his team updated their view on Nvidia stock.The team said Nvidia “more than delivered, with topline growth accelerating to 77% YoY” in Q1 guidance.More Tech Stocks:Morgan Stanley sets jaw-dropping Micron price target after eventNvidia’s China chip problem isn’t what most investors thinkQuantum Computing makes $110 million move nobody saw comingAnalysts raised their fiscal year 2027/2028/2029 non-GAAP EPS estimates by 5%/10%/13% to $8.11/$10.72/$13.18, respectively, and noted that they now include stock compensation expenses and embed a higher tax rate.The team noted risks:A continued market rotation out of AI semiconductors works against Nvidia.The expected slower year-over-year growth for cloud capex in 2027.In a research note shared with me, Arya reiterated a buy rating for Nvidia stock and raised the target price to $300 from $275, based on 28 multiple of his estimate for price to earnings ratio excluding cash for calendar year 2027, which is within Nvidia’s historical forward year price to earnings range of 25 to 56.Analysts noted downside risk factors for Nvidia:Weakness in consumer driven gaming marketCompetition with major public firmsLarger-than-expected impact from restrictions on compute shipments to ChinaLumpy and unpredictable sales in new enterprise, data center, and autosmarketsPotential for decelerating capital returnsEnhanced government scrutiny of Nvidia’s dominant market position in AIchipsNvidia survey reveals AI is delivering return on investment in health careNvidia has released its second annual “State of AI in Healthcare and Life Sciences” survey report.The report shows how the industry is approaching achieving a return on investment (ROI) in core applications such as medical imaging and drug discovery. It also demonstrates that the industry is embracing open-source software and AI models to address specific use cases.Highlights from Nvidia's health care report include:70% of respondents said their organizations are actively using AI, up from 63% in 2024.82% said open source software and models are moderately to extremely important to their organizations’ AI strategy.85% of executives said AI is helping increase revenue, and 80% said it’s helping reduce costs.“Scaling generative AI in healthcare starts with focusing on real clinical and operational problems, rather than the technology itself,” said Annabelle Painter, clinical AI strategy lead at Visiba U.K. Related: What Nvidia didn’t show at CES, and whether AMD should care“The organizations seeing impact are those that embed AI into existing workflows instead of layering AI on top as a separate tool.”Sixty-one percent of respondents from medical technology said they’re using AI for medical imaging, such as radiologists using it to work more quickly and efficiently, while 57% from pharmaceutical and biotechnology said drug discovery is being driven by AI.As a result of AI’s positive impact, 85% of respondents said their AI budgets would increase this year, with another 12% saying budgets would stay the same. 82% of survey respondents stated that open source is moderately to extremely important to their AI strategy.“Open models will shape the intellectual field,” said John Nosta, president of NostaLab, a health care think tank. “They are essential for exploration and for keeping the field honest. But in clinical environments where safety, liability, and accountability are non-negotiable, proprietary systems will remain necessary for validation, integration, and trust. The key insight here is that discovery will be open, and deployment will demand stewardship.”Related: History of Nvidia: Company timeline and facts