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U.S.-Iran Ceasefire At Risk: Oil Pulls Rates Higher

Seeking Alpha
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⚡ Quantum Brief
A fragile US-Iran ceasefire faces renewed strain as geopolitical tensions threaten oil markets, pushing global rates higher amid thin holiday trading with Japan, China, and UK markets closed. The US dollar extended its late-week recovery Monday, gaining momentum in low-liquidity conditions as investors react to Washington’s two unspecified end-of-week measures affecting financial markets. Sterling briefly surged to $1.3660—its highest since February—before retreating, reflecting broader currency volatility tied to Middle East instability and shifting risk sentiment. The 10-year US Treasury yield climbed nearly four basis points to 4.41%, signaling rising inflation expectations as oil price pressures mount amid ceasefire uncertainty. Analysts warn prolonged US-Iran tensions could disrupt supply chains, further tightening energy markets and exacerbating upward pressure on interest rates and borrowing costs globally.
U.S.-Iran Ceasefire At Risk: Oil Pulls Rates Higher

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Marc Chandler17.15K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(10min)CommentsSummaryThe US dollar recovered in late turnover ahead of the weekend and has extended its recovery today in holiday-thin trading.Washington announced two measures at the end of last week.Sterling reached almost $1.3660 before the weekend, its best level since February 16.The 10-year US Treasury yield is up nearly four basis points to almost 4.41%. Alones Creative/iStock via Getty Images The US dollar (DXY) recovered in late turnover ahead of the weekend and has extended its recovery today in holiday-thin trading. Japan, China, and UK markets are closed. The ceasefire in the US-Iran warThis article was written byMarc Chandler17.15K FollowersFollowMarc Chandler has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for 40 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. A prolific writer and speaker he appears regularly on CNBC and has spoken for the Foreign Policy Association. In addition to being quoted in the financial press daily, Chandler has been published in the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, and the Washington Post. In 2009 Chandler was named a Business Visionary by Forbes. Marc's commentary can be found at his blog (www.marctomarket.com) and twitter www.twitter.com/marcmakingsense

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Source: Seeking Alpha