Excellent Inflation News (And Jobless Claims Weren't Too Bad, Either)
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David Kotok2.67K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(3min)CommentsSummaryThe US November inflation survey showed slower price gains from a year ago. The 12-month trend rate for the overall CPI rose by 2.7 percent, helped by faster monthly gains from a year ago. The trend core rate was up by 2.6 percent.One month's figures are not enough to determine a trend - we would need to see several months of slower inflation (and a continued downward trend) to convince the Fed to ease multiple times next year.Weekly unemployment claims dropped to 224,000 - close to its recent average. welcomia/iStock via Getty Images While the federal government shutdown prevented most of the October inflation survey, the full November survey showed slower price gains from a year ago. The 12-month trend rate for the overall CPI rose by 2.7 percent, helped byThis article was written byDavid Kotok2.67K FollowersFollowDavid Kotok (Substack: https://dkotok.substack.com, The Fed and the Flu book website, https://thefedandtheflu.com ) co-founded Cumberland Advisors in 1973 and was its Chief Investment Officer from inception until December 2024. David’s articles and financial market commentaries have appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and other publications. He has been a contributor to Bloomberg TV and Bloomberg Radio, Yahoo Finance TV, and other media. He has authored or co-authored five books, including the newest one released in 2025, for details: www.thefedandtheflu.com . He holds a B.S. in economics from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, an M.S. in organizational dynamics from The School of Arts and Sciences at the University of Pennsylvania, and an M.A. in philosophy from the University of Pennsylvania.David was Program Chairman and a Director of the Global Interdependence Center (GIC), www.interdependence.org , whose mission is to encourage the expansion of global dialogue and free trade in order to improve cooperation and understanding among nation states, with the goal of reducing international conflicts and improving worldwide living standards. David chaired its Central Banking Series and organized a five-continent dialogue held in Cape Town, Hong Kong, Hanoi, Milan, Paris, Philadelphia, Prague, Rome, Santiago, Shanghai, Singapore, Tallinn, and Zambia (Livingstone). He has received the Global Citizen Award from GIC for his efforts. David is a member of the National Business Economics Issues Council (NBEIC), the National Association for Business Economics (NABE), has served on the Research Advisory Board of BCA Research and is currently on the advisory board of RiskBridge Advisors. He has also served as a Commissioner of the Delaware River Port Authority (DRPA) and on the Treasury Transition Teams for New Jersey Governors Kean and Whitman. Additionally, he has served as a board member of the New Jersey Economic Development Authority and as Chairman of the New Jersey Casino Reinvestment Development Authority.