Celsius' Inventory Reset/Integration Noise Trigger Deep-Value Buy Opportunities
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Juxtaposed Ideas14.97K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(11min)CommentsSummaryCELH is an even better Buy after the recent market over-reaction, with the Alani Nu acquisition already triggering renewed growth opportunities and expanding energy drink dollar share. This is especially since the integration of Alani Nu into PEP's distribution channels are likely to trigger its outsized prospects from FQ1'26/FY2026 onwards. Otherwise, the management has highlighted a potential bottom-line impact in FQ4'25, arising from integration costs, year end promotions, and freight/tariff pressure. Thanks to the meltdown, CELH appears relatively compelling at my estimated 2Y PEG non-GAAP ratio of 1.71x as well, with the robust balance sheet supporting its profitable growth trends. With the lumpy performance metrics already baked into its stock prices, I believe that there is an improved margin of safety for those looking to add here. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images Entertainment I previously covered Celsius Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:CELH) in September 2025, discussing how its growth inflection had occurred as expected, thanks to the accretive nature of the Alani Nu acquisition to its core offerings rightThis article was written byJuxtaposed Ideas14.97K FollowersFollowI am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. The analysis is provided exclusively for informational purposes and should not be considered professional investment advice. Before investing, please conduct personal in-depth research and utmost due diligence, as there are many risks associated with the trade, including capital loss.Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.Quick InsightsHow does CELH's market share trajectory compare to Red Bull and Monster?CELH's US energy drink dollar share rose to 20.8% in Q3'25, while Red Bull and Monster lost share, underscoring CELH's robust organic and acquisitive growth.What near-term risks could impact CELH's margins and earnings?Inventory reset, integration costs, and lower Rockstar/Alani Nu margins may pressure FQ4'25 results, but these are expected to be one-time events before normalization from FY2026 onwards.How does CELH's valuation stack up against beverage peers post-correction?At FY2026 EV/EBITDA of 17.68x and P/E of 29.91x, CELH trades attractively versus peers like PEP, KO, KDP, and MNST, supported by higher growth rates.Recommended For You