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Tesla At ~$1.5T: Is This Just An FSD Coin Flip Or A Portfolio Of Real Options?

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Nelson Alves3.77K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(8min)Comments(2)SummaryTesla’s current valuation is 'too tied' to unsupervised FSD/ Robotaxi, and that outcome is basically a coin flip.Even in a tough EV tape, Tesla still has scale manufacturing, cost-down culture, and global distribution.At ~$1.5T, the stock is not cheap, and the bear case of timing + multiple compression is legitimate.
Tesla At ~$1.5T: Is This Just An FSD Coin Flip Or A Portfolio Of Real Options?

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Nelson Alves3.77K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(8min)Comments(2)SummaryTesla’s current valuation is 'too tied' to unsupervised FSD/ Robotaxi, and that outcome is basically a coin flip.Even in a tough EV tape, Tesla still has scale manufacturing, cost-down culture, and global distribution.At ~$1.5T, the stock is not cheap, and the bear case of timing + multiple compression is legitimate. jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty Images The bear case sounds clean: Tesla’s (TSLA) current valuation is “too tied” to unsupervised FSD / Robotaxi, and that outcome is basically a coin flip. If that’s true, then paying a mega-cap, triple-digitThis article was written byNelson Alves3.77K FollowersFollowEx-trading desk at tradfi bankHead of Investment Research at KRIMaster in Finance

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Source: Seeking Alpha