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Reeling From Software Stock Losses? Alphabet Investors Have Some Advice For You

The Motley Fool
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⚡ Quantum Brief
AI-driven panic triggered a 22% year-to-date plunge in software stocks, with investors fearing disruption from OpenAI and Anthropic’s advanced models, despite no proven revenue impact on major SaaS providers. Alphabet’s stock dropped 8% in 2023 after ChatGPT’s launch exposed Google Search vulnerabilities, prompting a rushed Bard debut marred by errors—mirroring today’s software sector sell-off dynamics. Since that 2023 low, Alphabet tripled its share price by consolidating AI labs (Google Brain + DeepMind) and launching Gemini, proving resilience against perceived AI threats. Historical patterns show sector-wide sell-offs on unproven disruption fears often overcorrect; software fundamentals remain strong, with no evidence AI has eroded SaaS growth yet. Investors may find opportunity in the dip, as Alphabet’s recovery suggests exaggerated tech threats create buying moments—though not all stocks will rebound equally.
Reeling From Software Stock Losses? Alphabet Investors Have Some Advice For You

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By Jeremy Bowman – Feb 4, 2026 at 10:15PM ESTKey PointsSoftware stocks are plunging over a fear of disruption from AI.Something similar happened to Alphabet stock when ChatGPT first came out.Alphabet stock has tripled since then. These 10 Stocks Could Mint the Next Wave of Millionaires ›NASDAQ: GOOGLAlphabetMarket Cap$4.1TToday's Changeangle-down(-1.89%) $6.43Current Price$333.28Price as of February 4, 2026 at 3:58 PM ETThis isn't the first time a software stock has plunged over AI fears.Cloud software stocks have been big winners on the market historically, but lately, one of the surest bets in investing over the last decade has gone belly up. The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV 1.81%), which tracks top software stocks like Microsoft, Palantir, and Salesforce, is down 22% year-to-date, and the culprit is clear. Investors are panicked that new AI tools from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic could disrupt entrenched software-as-a-service (SaaS) models. That theory is leading to valuations in the historically expensive industry being dramatically compressed, even though there's no sign yet that AI is putting a significant dent in any major software businesses. This response from the market isn't unprecedented. The first software sell-off in response to AI fears came shortly after the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT. Image source: Getty Images. Alphabet's "code red" When ChatGPT was launched on Nov. 30, 2022, investors immediately understood that it was a disruptive innovation -- the era of AI was here. Alphabet (GOOG 2.08%) (GOOGL 1.89%) and its investors also recognized the launch as the biggest challenge yet to Google Search. Scrambling to come up with a response to ChatGPT, Alphabet announced a "code red," and by February 2023, it introduced Bard, its own chatbot similar to ChatGPT. However, in its initial presentation, Bard gave some incorrect answers, and Alphabet stock plunged as a result, falling 8% in a single session. At the time, Alphabet looked weaker and more vulnerable than it had in a long time. A start-up that was little-known to most investors had kicked off the next technological revolution with the help of Microsoft, and the Google-parent had been left watching from the sidelines. It might have seemed risky to double down on Alphabet stock at that point, but that would have been the right move, and you only need to look at the stock chart over the last three years below to see why. GOOGL data by YCharts Alphabet regrouped after that misstep. It combined Google Brain and DeepMind, its two AI labs, and eventually launched Gemini, its latest LLM, which many observers consider to be better than ChatGPT's latest model. Other factors played into the stock's recent surge, but that was certainly a major reason for the breakout. Additionally, Google Search has remained resilient and continued to deliver steady growth even as AI chat platforms have grown. What it means for software investors today There aren't any perfect analogs in investing, but it's worth taking away a couple of lessons here. First, buying the dip, especially when a stock sells off for no fundamental reason, often pays off. Google's plunge was driven more by sentiment rather than a meaningful change in fundamentals. Second, threats from new technologies are often exaggerated or unfounded. It takes time for industries to be disrupted and for people to change their habits. That doesn't mean that every software stock will be a winner from here, but a sectorwide sell-off of more than 20% on pure AI fears seems excessive. Buying the dip on some of these stocks is likely to pay off down the road. Read NextFeb 4, 2026 •By Stefon WaltersThis Tech Stock Could Turn $1,000 Into $18,000 in 21 YearsFeb 4, 2026 •By Danny Vena, CPAGoogle Plans to Double Capex Spending as Cloud Growth Soars 48%Feb 4, 2026 •By Daniel SparksIs Alphabet Stock a Buy as Google Cloud Revenue Soars?Feb 4, 2026 •By Keith Speights2 Top Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy in FebruaryFeb 1, 2026 •By Keithen Drury3 AI Stocks to Buy in 2026 and Hold ForeverJan 31, 2026 •By Adam SpataccoOpenAI and Anthropic Now Rival Public Software Giants for Revenue.

That Makes These 3 Stocks Strong Buys for 2026.About the AuthorJeremy Bowman has been a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst, covering technology, consumer goods, and macroeconomic trends since 2011.

Before The Motley Fool, Jeremy was a newspaper reporter, restaurant manager, and English teacher abroad. He holds a bachelor’s degree in English from Colorado College and a master’s degree in business administration from American University. One of his Motley Fool headlines was briefly featured on Late Night with Stephen Colbert.TMFHoboX@TMFBowmanStocks MentionedAlphabetNASDAQ: GOOGL$333.28 (0.02%) $6.43MicrosoftNASDAQ: MSFT$414.55 (+0.01%) $+3.34SalesforceNYSE: CRM$199.47 (+0.02%) $+3.09iShares Trust - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETFNYSEMKT: IGV$83.84 (0.02%) $1.55AlphabetNASDAQ: GOOG$333.60 (0.02%) $7.10Palantir TechnologiesNASDAQ: PLTR$139.54 (0.12%) $18.34*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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